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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 9,6x - 10,7x | 10,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,1x - 8,9x | 8,5x |
| Fair Value | $44,39 - $55,82 | $50,10 |
| Upside | 2,7% - 29,2% | 16,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Guoco Group Limited | 53 | SEHK:53 |
| Honeywell International Inc. | HON | NasdaqGS:HON |
| Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited | C07 | SGX:C07 |
| Icahn Enterprises L.P. | IEP | NasdaqGS:IEP |
| 3M Company | MMM | NYSE:MMM |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited | JARL.F | OTCPK:JARL.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 53 | HON | C07 | IEP | MMM | JARL.F | ||
| SEHK:53 | NasdaqGS:HON | SGX:C07 | NasdaqGS:IEP | NYSE:MMM | OTCPK:JARL.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | NM- | -7.9% | -9.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 71.2% | 3.4% | 15.4% | NM- | -18.6% | -8.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 22.6% | 7.7% | -16.0% | -395.3% | -9.8% | -19.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.6% | 20.8% | 11.8% | -3.3% | 19.6% | 10.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.0% | 20.6% | 14.0% | 0.8% | 17.4% | 11.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.1% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 0.2% | 17.0% | 9.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.2% | 21.3% | 11.7% | -6.6% | 16.9% | 9.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.49x | 4.33x | 0.69x | 0.94x | 3.57x | 0.89x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 17.4x | 4.3x | -70.3x | 16.4x | 7.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.2x | 20.3x | 5.9x | -14.2x | 21.1x | 9.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -14.2x | 8.2x | 21.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.0x | 9.4x | 15.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 9.6x | 10.1x | 10.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 3,379 | 3,379 | 3,379 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 32,582 | 34,296 | 36,011 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (18,720) | (18,720) | (18,720) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,862 | 15,576 | 17,291 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 291.6 | 291.6 | 291.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 47.53 | 53.41 | 59.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 47.53 | 53.41 | 59.29 | 43.21 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 10.0% | 23.6% | 37.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 53 | HON | C07 | IEP | MMM | JARL.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,384 | 168,624 | 14,213 | 8,929 | 87,622 | 31,320 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,119 | 10,059 | 2,842 | 2,183 | 7,024 | 4,897 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,901 | 1,418 | 8,015 | 2,073 | 0 | 21,225 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,410) | (33,991) | (7,295) | (7,299) | (14,134) | (19,402) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,307) | (568) | (10,127) | (1,179) | (59) | (25,440) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,687 | 145,542 | 7,648 | 4,707 | 80,453 | 12,600 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 329.1 | 642.7 | 395.2 | 546.1 | 538.2 | 291.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.17 | 226.46 | 19.35 | 8.62 | 149.49 | 43.21 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 64.00 | 226.46 | 24.93 | 8.62 | 149.49 | 43.21 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | USD | SGD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |