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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4,6x - 5,1x | 4,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3,6x - 4,0x | 3,8x |
| Fair Value | $0,29 - $0,33 | $0,31 |
| Upside | 2,1% - 14,6% | 8,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Coherent Corp. | COHR | NYSE:COHR |
| FIH Mobile Limited | 2038 | SEHK:2038 |
| Accelink Technologies Co,Ltd. | 2281 | SZSE:002281 |
| Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | AAOI | NasdaqGM:AAOI |
| Lumentum Holdings Inc. | LITE | NasdaqGS:LITE |
| FIT Hon Teng Limited | FITG.F | OTCPK:FITG.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| COHR | 2038 | 2281 | AAOI | LITE | FITG.F | ||
| NYSE:COHR | SEHK:2038 | SZSE:002281 | NasdaqGM:AAOI | NasdaqGS:LITE | OTCPK:FITG.F | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 23.2% | 11.3% | 13.3% | NM- | NM- | 1.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | NM- | NM- | 14.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.7% | 215.2% | 36.0% | -140.2% | -1023.9% | 25.8% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 18.7% | 0.2% | 11.2% | -14.8% | 17.1% | 9.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.5% | -1.5% | 11.3% | -9.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.5% | 2.0% | 12.1% | -20.2% | -6.1% | 11.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.2% | 2.0% | 12.8% | -20.2% | -3.6% | 11.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.74x | -0.11x | 4.30x | 2.60x | 3.76x | 0.46x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.0x | -5.4x | 33.5x | -12.9x | -104.3x | 3.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 40.9x | 35.3x | 47.4x | -9.1x | -16.4x | 6.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -104.3x | -5.4x | 33.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.3x | 4.3x | 7.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 4.9x | 5.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 520 | 520 | 520 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,415 | 2,542 | 2,669 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (333) | (333) | (333) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,082 | 2,209 | 2,337 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,090.0 | 7,090.0 | 7,090.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.33 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.28 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.5% | 9.8% | 16.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | COHR | 2038 | 2281 | AAOI | LITE | FITG.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 14,536 | (707) | 30,469 | 648 | 5,319 | 2,345 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 918 | 1,685 | 2,856 | 67 | 897 | 1,179 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 92 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 98 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,064) | (346) | (429) | (191) | (2,608) | (1,600) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (368) | (3) | (40) | 0 | 0 | (10) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | (2,429) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,593 | 721 | 32,942 | 524 | 3,608 | 2,012 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 155.0 | 7,884.5 | 793.6 | 50.2 | 69.1 | 7,090.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 55.45 | 0.09 | 41.51 | 10.43 | 52.21 | 0.28 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 55.45 | 0.71 | 41.51 | 10.43 | 52.21 | 0.28 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | HKD | CNY | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |