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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9,3x - 10,3x | 9,8x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 10,1x - 11,1x | 10,6x |
Fair Value | $0,43 - $0,49 | $0,46 |
Upside | -3,9% - 8,7% | 2,4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Eneco Energy Limited | R14 | SGX:R14 |
GKE Corporation Limited | 595 | Catalist:595 |
Vibrant Group Limited | BIP | SGX:BIP |
AGX Group Berhad | AGX | KLSE:AGX |
A-Sonic Aerospace Limited | BTJ | SGX:BTJ |
COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd. | CSCM.Y | OTCPK:CSCM.Y |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
R14 | 595 | BIP | AGX | BTJ | CSCM.Y | ||
SGX:R14 | Catalist:595 | SGX:BIP | KLSE:AGX | SGX:BTJ | OTCPK:CSCM.Y | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 10.5% | NM- | NM- | -9.2% | 15.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -29.0% | 17.4% | -2.1% | -7.4% | -43.1% | 5.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -16.6% | 57.9% | 25.4% | NM | 1144.9% | 66.6% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -2.5% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 30.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 3.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% | -0.1% | 43.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.8% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 43.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 2.8% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 0.7% | 43.2% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.87x | 0.75x | 1.04x | 0.86x | -0.07x | 3.99x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 31.5x | 3.5x | 6.6x | 15.1x | -9.5x | 9.2x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 184.2x | 7.9x | 9.9x | 17.7x | -13.3x | 17.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -9.5x | 6.6x | 31.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.3x | 9.8x | 17.3x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.3x | 9.8x | 10.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 79 | 79 | 79 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 733 | 772 | 810 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (141) | (141) | (141) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 593 | 631 | 670 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,037.6 | 1,037.6 | 1,037.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.65 | ||||
FX Rate: SGD/USD | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.45 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -0.8% | 5.6% | 12.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | R14 | 595 | BIP | AGX | BTJ | CSCM.Y | |
Enterprise Value | 27 | 93 | 156 | 216 | (16) | 738 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12 | 30 | 64 | 19 | 46 | 48 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2 | 59 | 17 | 1 | 59 | |
(-) Debt | (12) | (53) | (164) | (39) | (2) | (243) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (7) | 0 | (1) | (5) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 28 | 72 | 107 | 212 | 27 | 598 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,792.9 | 770.5 | 679.9 | 432.9 | 105.8 | 1,037.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.49 | 0.26 | 0.58 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.28 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.49 | 0.33 | 0.45 | |
Trading Currency | SGD | SGD | SGD | MYR | SGD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.28 |