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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8,7x - 9,6x | 9,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6,4x - 7,0x | 6,7x |
| Fair Value | $27,03 - $30,06 | $28,54 |
| Upside | 13,0% - 25,7% | 19,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Marten Transport, Ltd. | MRTN | NasdaqGS:MRTN |
| Landstar System, Inc. | LSTR | NasdaqGS:LSTR |
| Werner Enterprises, Inc. | WERN | NasdaqGS:WERN |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | JBHT | NasdaqGS:JBHT |
| Heartland Express, Inc. | HTLD | NasdaqGS:HTLD |
| Schneider National, Inc. | SNDR | NYSE:SNDR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MRTN | LSTR | WERN | JBHT | HTLD | SNDR | ||
| NasdaqGS:MRTN | NasdaqGS:LSTR | NasdaqGS:WERN | NasdaqGS:JBHT | NasdaqGS:HTLD | NYSE:SNDR | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.9% | -2.3% | -5.5% | 4.2% | -1.3% | -2.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -10.4% | -18.1% | -12.9% | -0.2% | -3.7% | -12.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -25.7% | -21.1% | -22.0% | -5.0% | -12.8% | -0.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.2% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 13.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 17.7% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 11.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.2% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 10.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.8% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 10.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.08x | 0.93x | 0.81x | 1.30x | 0.87x | 0.84x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 15.9x | 7.6x | 10.0x | 5.9x | 7.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 47.2x | 19.8x | 76.2x | 19.2x | -28.8x | 24.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 7.6x | 15.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.9x | 6.0x | 9.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.7x | 9.2x | 9.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 573 | 573 | 573 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,994 | 5,257 | 5,519 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (299) | (299) | (299) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,695 | 4,958 | 5,221 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 175.2 | 175.2 | 175.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 26.80 | 28.30 | 29.80 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 26.80 | 28.30 | 29.80 | 23.92 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 12.0% | 18.3% | 24.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MRTN | LSTR | WERN | JBHT | HTLD | SNDR | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,009 | 4,457 | 2,395 | 15,666 | 867 | 4,489 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 40 | 473 | 52 | 43 | 24 | 154 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 124 | |
| (-) Debt | (1) | (154) | (689) | (1,920) | (206) | (577) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (38) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,048 | 4,793 | 1,728 | 13,789 | 685 | 4,191 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 81.5 | 34.9 | 61.8 | 99.2 | 78.6 | 175.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 12.86 | 137.14 | 27.98 | 139.01 | 8.72 | 23.92 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 12.86 | 137.14 | 27.98 | 139.01 | 8.72 | 23.92 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |