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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2,1x - 2,3x | 2,2x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,9x - 2,1x | 2,0x |
| Fair Value | $499,16 - $561,66 | $530,41 |
| Upside | -2,5% - 9,7% | 3,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| General Dynamics Corporation | GD | NYSE:GD |
| RTX Corporation | RTX | NYSE:RTX |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation | LMT | NYSE:LMT |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | LHX | NYSE:LHX |
| Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. | HII | NYSE:HII |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation | NOC | NYSE:NOC |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| GD | RTX | LMT | LHX | HII | NOC | |||
| NYSE:GD | NYSE:RTX | NYSE:LMT | NYSE:LHX | NYSE:HII | NYSE:NOC | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.9% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 7.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.9% | 17.1% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 0.7% | 4.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 13.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.8% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 13.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 13.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.73x | 2.68x | 1.75x | 2.43x | 0.92x | 2.14x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.3x | 25.6x | 17.3x | 19.6x | 16.0x | 16.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.54x | 2.19x | 1.48x | 1.84x | 0.69x | 1.81x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.92x | 1.75x | 2.68x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.78x | 2.14x | 2.74x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.10x | 2.22x | 2.33x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 41,033 | 41,033 | 41,033 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 86,358 | 90,903 | 95,448 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (13,696) | (13,696) | (13,696) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 72,662 | 77,207 | 81,752 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 144.8 | 144.8 | 144.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 501.96 | 533.36 | 564.76 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 501.96 | 533.36 | 564.76 | 512.01 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -2.0% | 4.2% | 10.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GD | RTX | LMT | LHX | HII | NOC | |
| Enterprise Value | 82,561 | 216,330 | 123,430 | 51,721 | 10,634 | 87,812 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,697 | 5,578 | 2,483 | 615 | 831 | 4,353 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 654 | 0 | 0 | 347 | |
| (-) Debt | (10,676) | (43,260) | (21,418) | (12,980) | (3,459) | (18,396) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1,802) | 0 | (65) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 73,582 | 176,846 | 105,149 | 39,291 | 8,006 | 74,116 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 269.9 | 1,335.1 | 235.4 | 187.7 | 39.2 | 144.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 272.58 | 132.46 | 446.71 | 209.31 | 204.04 | 512.01 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 272.58 | 132.46 | 446.71 | 209.31 | 204.04 | 512.01 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |