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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2,7x - 2,9x | 2,8x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,3x - 2,5x | 2,4x |
Fair Value | $169,74 - $189,53 | $179,63 |
Upside | 51,7% - 69,4% | 60,6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Beam Global | BEEM | NasdaqCM:BEEM |
Bloom Energy Corporation | BE | NYSE:BE |
Sunrun Inc. | RUN | NasdaqGS:RUN |
Complete Solaria, Inc. | CSLR | NasdaqGM:CSLR |
Aura Systems, Inc. | AUSI | OTCPK:AUSI |
Generac Holdings Inc. | GNRC | NYSE:GNRC |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
BEEM | BE | RUN | CSLR | AUSI | GNRC | |||
NasdaqCM:BEEM | NYSE:BE | NasdaqGS:RUN | NasdaqGM:CSLR | OTCPK:AUSI | NYSE:GNRC | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 61.3% | 13.4% | 18.9% | NM- | 7.4% | 14.3% | ||
3Y CAGR | 121.4% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 43.9% | -21.3% | 4.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.3% | 10.5% | -9.8% | -51.7% | -15.5% | 6.8% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -59.9% | -11.3% | -36.3% | -52.9% | -3403.6% | 14.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -64.0% | -6.4% | -36.3% | -31.8% | -4933.8% | 9.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -23.5% | 1.6% | -28.1% | -59.8% | -4928.6% | 12.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -25.9% | 1.6% | -28.1% | -154.6% | -9749.0% | 12.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 3.11x | 7.70x | 5.71x | 1058.87x | 1.81x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | -1.5x | 199.8x | -27.4x | -3.7x | -10.9x | 14.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.43x | 2.59x | 0.78x | 2.48x | 736.99x | 1.55x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 5.71x | 1058.87x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.69x | 2.35x | 6.66x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.65x | 2.79x | 2.93x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 4,296 | 4,296 | 4,296 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,388 | 11,988 | 12,587 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,086) | (1,086) | (1,086) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 10,302 | 10,902 | 11,501 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 59.6 | 59.6 | 59.6 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 172.81 | 182.87 | 192.92 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 172.81 | 182.87 | 192.92 | 111.86 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 54.5% | 63.5% | 72.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BEEM | BE | RUN | CSLR | AUSI | GNRC | |
Enterprise Value | 24 | 4,577 | 15,608 | 233 | 52 | 7,755 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5 | 803 | 606 | 80 | 0 | 281 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 28 | |
(-) Debt | (2) | (1,532) | (13,104) | (205) | (16) | (1,393) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (23) | (1,610) | 0 | 0 | (3) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (7) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 26 | 3,825 | 1,581 | 101 | 36 | 6,668 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 14.8 | 230.4 | 226.2 | 73.8 | 120.4 | 59.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.79 | 16.60 | 6.99 | 1.37 | 0.30 | 111.86 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.79 | 16.60 | 6.99 | 1.37 | 0.30 | 111.86 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |