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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 11,3x - 12,5x | 11,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8,7x - 9,6x | 9,1x |
| Fair Value | $38,26 - $45,52 | $41,89 |
| Upside | -2,7% - 15,8% | 6,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| American Vanguard Corporation | AVD | NYSE:AVD |
| Corteva, Inc. | CTVA | NYSE:CTVA |
| Nutrien Ltd. | NTR | NYSE:NTR |
| Yara International ASA | YRAI.F | OTCPK:YRAI.F |
| Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited | SOMM.F | OTCPK:SOMM.F |
| FMC Corporation | FMC | NYSE:FMC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AVD | CTVA | NTR | YRAI.F | SOMM.F | FMC | ||
| NYSE:AVD | NYSE:CTVA | NYSE:NTR | OTCPK:YRAI.F | OTCPK:SOMM.F | NYSE:FMC | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 9.2% | 4.6% | -2.8% | 2.7% | -7.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -6.4% | -11.4% | -15.8% | -3.5% | -13.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -119.7% | 10.8% | -12.2% | 28.1% | 228.6% | 16.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.7% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 23.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.2% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 8.4% | -9.7% | 19.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -1.7% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 19.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.7% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 18.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.54x | 2.98x | 1.72x | 0.93x | 0.50x | 2.16x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -31.2x | 15.1x | 9.8x | 8.0x | 4.3x | 11.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -9.2x | 23.7x | 17.7x | 15.8x | 7.5x | 14.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -31.2x | 8.0x | 15.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.2x | 14.1x | 14.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.3x | 11.9x | 12.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 771 | 771 | 771 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,695 | 9,153 | 9,610 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,828) | (3,828) | (3,828) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,867 | 5,325 | 5,783 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 124.9 | 124.9 | 124.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 38.97 | 42.63 | 46.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 38.97 | 42.63 | 46.29 | 39.32 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -0.9% | 8.4% | 17.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AVD | CTVA | NTR | YRAI.F | SOMM.F | FMC | |
| Enterprise Value | 282 | 49,635 | 42,003 | 11,899 | 1,388,493 | 8,739 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 13 | 2,009 | 895 | 326 | 254,853 | 315 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1 | 235 | 495 | 150 | 465,382 | 26 | |
| (-) Debt | (168) | (4,083) | (14,707) | (4,091) | (1,286,128) | (4,140) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (242) | (32) | (17) | (173,625) | (30) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 128 | 47,554 | 28,654 | 8,267 | 648,975 | 4,911 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28.8 | 682.2 | 487.5 | 254.7 | 1,636.7 | 124.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.43 | 69.71 | 58.78 | 32.46 | 396.51 | 39.32 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 144.19 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.43 | 69.71 | 58.78 | 32.46 | 2.75 | 39.32 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 144.19 | 1.00 | |