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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 13,7x - 15,2x | 14,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,7x - 5,1x | 4,9x |
| Fair Value | ₹288 - ₹319,72 | ₹303,86 |
| Upside | 54,0% - 71,0% | 62,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Vishwas Agri Seeds Limited | VISHWAS | NSEI:VISHWAS |
| Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Limited | BSHSL | NSEI:BSHSL |
| Continental Seeds and Chemicals Limited | CONTI | NSEI:CONTI |
| Mangalam Seeds Limited | 539275 | BSE:539275 |
| ShreeOswal Seeds and Chemicals Limited | OSWALSEEDS | NSEI:OSWALSEEDS |
| Upsurge Seeds Of Agriculture Limited | USASEEDS | NSEI:USASEEDS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| VISHWAS | BSHSL | CONTI | 539275 | OSWALSEEDS | USASEEDS | ||
| NSEI:VISHWAS | NSEI:BSHSL | NSEI:CONTI | BSE:539275 | NSEI:OSWALSEEDS | NSEI:USASEEDS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 40.5% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 6.4% | 107.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 49.0% | 33.3% | 21.3% | 30.7% | -3.1% | 102.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.5% | 18.1% | 217.9% | -10.8% | 818.9% | 26.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 19.7% | 3.4% | 8.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.5% | 11.1% | 1.1% | 18.3% | 0.4% | 10.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 17.8% | 3.9% | 10.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.5% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 17.8% | 3.9% | 13.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.95x | 4.21x | 0.37x | 2.48x | 0.63x | 1.27x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.6x | 46.1x | 9.5x | 14.0x | 16.2x | 9.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 48.0x | 32.1x | 15.3x | 17.1x | 11.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.6x | 14.0x | 46.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.3x | 34.5x | 51.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.7x | 14.5x | 15.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 149 | 149 | 149 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,054 | 2,162 | 2,270 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (94) | (94) | (94) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,959 | 2,067 | 2,175 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 277.51 | 292.82 | 308.13 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 277.51 | 292.82 | 308.13 | 187.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 48.4% | 56.6% | 64.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VISHWAS | BSHSL | CONTI | 539275 | OSWALSEEDS | USASEEDS | |
| Enterprise Value | 971 | 15,127 | 323 | 2,584 | 1,516 | 1,415 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 54 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 2 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (423) | (921) | (39) | (648) | (419) | (97) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (16) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 603 | 14,212 | 286 | 1,942 | 1,099 | 1,320 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10.0 | 104.9 | 12.7 | 11.0 | 91.5 | 7.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 60.25 | 135.43 | 22.50 | 176.90 | 12.02 | 187.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 60.25 | 135.43 | 22.50 | 176.90 | 12.02 | 187.00 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |