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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,5x - 13,8x | 13,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11,1x - 12,3x | 11,7x |
| Fair Value | ₹54,36 - ₹61,98 | ₹58,17 |
| Upside | -7,4% - 5,5% | -0,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Total Transport Systems Limited | TOTAL | NSEI:TOTAL |
| Tiger Logistics (India) Limited | 536264 | BSE:536264 |
| Mahindra Logistics Limited | MAHLOG | NSEI:MAHLOG |
| Gateway Distriparks Limited | GATEWAY | NSEI:GATEWAY |
| Sical Logistics Limited | SICALLOG | NSEI:SICALLOG |
| Snowman Logistics Limited | SNOWMAN | NSEI:SNOWMAN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TOTAL | 536264 | MAHLOG | GATEWAY | SICALLOG | SNOWMAN | ||
| NSEI:TOTAL | BSE:536264 | NSEI:MAHLOG | NSEI:GATEWAY | NSEI:SICALLOG | NSEI:SNOWMAN | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -11.6% | NM- | 20.9% | 33.8% | NM- | 13.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 22.0% | 2.3% | 47.4% | 3.3% | NM- | 17.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.7% | 166.5% | 241.2% | 16.5% | 155.3% | 9.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 25.4% | -0.5% | 20.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 23.3% | 7.2% | 17.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 24.8% | 16.8% | 16.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 24.8% | 16.8% | 16.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.24x | 1.00x | 0.51x | 2.41x | 5.44x | 2.32x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.4x | 13.7x | 10.9x | 9.7x | 32.3x | 13.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 28.3x | 14.0x | 53.6x | 13.4x | 457.9x | 42.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.7x | 13.7x | 32.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.8x | 13.7x | 18.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.5x | 13.2x | 13.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 935 | 935 | 935 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,702 | 12,318 | 12,934 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,005) | (3,005) | (3,005) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,697 | 9,313 | 9,929 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 167.1 | 167.1 | 167.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 52.05 | 55.74 | 59.42 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 52.05 | 55.74 | 59.42 | 58.72 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.4% | -5.1% | 1.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TOTAL | 536264 | MAHLOG | GATEWAY | SICALLOG | SNOWMAN | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,585 | 5,443 | 30,900 | 40,582 | 12,944 | 12,817 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 165 | 512 | 966 | 959 | 865 | 62 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 120 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (400) | (341) | (8,688) | (7,202) | (6,078) | (3,067) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (164) | (2,497) | (1,344) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,350 | 5,733 | 23,035 | 31,842 | 6,394 | 9,811 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 16.1 | 105.7 | 72.1 | 499.6 | 65.2 | 167.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 83.74 | 54.23 | 319.35 | 63.73 | 98.00 | 58.72 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 83.74 | 54.23 | 319.35 | 63.73 | 98.00 | 58.72 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |