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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -59,5x - -65,8x | -62,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -48,3x - -53,3x | -50,8x |
| Fair Value | ₹47,81 - ₹63,41 | ₹55,61 |
| Upside | -58,5% - -45,0% | -51,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| AVG Logistics Limited | 543910 | BSE:543910 |
| Tiger Logistics (India) Limited | 536264 | BSE:536264 |
| Total Transport Systems Limited | TOTAL | NSEI:TOTAL |
| Chartered Logistics Limited | 531977 | BSE:531977 |
| Accuracy Shipping Limited | ACCURACY | NSEI:ACCURACY |
| Sical Logistics Limited | SICALLOG | NSEI:SICALLOG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 543910 | 536264 | TOTAL | 531977 | ACCURACY | SICALLOG | ||
| BSE:543910 | BSE:536264 | NSEI:TOTAL | BSE:531977 | NSEI:ACCURACY | NSEI:SICALLOG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 28.6% | NM- | -21.3% | -18.8% | -1.2% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 32.1% | -6.1% | 6.2% | -19.1% | -14.5% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.9% | 111.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 158.1% | 48.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | -18.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | -14.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.5% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | -7.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | -7.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.14x | 1.08x | 0.24x | 1.44x | 0.26x | 6.22x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.5x | 18.8x | 15.5x | 31.7x | 6.1x | 64.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.1x | 19.3x | 28.5x | 58.7x | 8.9x | -85.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 19.3x | 58.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -85.0x | -27.5x | -17.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -59.5x | -62.7x | -65.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (162) | (162) | (162) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,669 | 10,178 | 10,687 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,550) | (6,550) | (6,550) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,120 | 3,629 | 4,138 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 65.2 | 65.2 | 65.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 47.81 | 55.61 | 63.41 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 47.81 | 55.61 | 63.41 | 115.31 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -58.5% | -51.8% | -45.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 543910 | 536264 | TOTAL | 531977 | ACCURACY | SICALLOG | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,320 | 5,760 | 1,582 | 1,092 | 2,342 | 14,073 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 86 | 512 | 165 | 37 | 128 | 865 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 108 | 125 | 0 | 95 | 0 | 7 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,186) | (341) | (400) | (214) | (1,145) | (6,078) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (1,344) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,326 | 6,055 | 1,347 | 1,010 | 1,325 | 7,524 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 15.1 | 105.7 | 16.1 | 120.2 | 150.6 | 65.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 287.30 | 57.27 | 83.53 | 8.40 | 8.80 | 115.31 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 287.30 | 57.27 | 83.53 | 8.40 | 8.80 | 115.31 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |