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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15,4x - 17,0x | 16,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10,0x - 11,1x | 10,6x |
| Fair Value | ₹106,39 - ₹125,48 | ₹115,94 |
| Upside | -20,4% - -6,1% | -13,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Jindal Stainless Limited | JSL | NSEI:JSL |
| NMDC Limited | NMDC | NSEI:NMDC |
| Sunflag Iron and Steel Company Limited | SUNFLAG | NSEI:SUNFLAG |
| Tata Steel Limited | TATASTEEL | NSEI:TATASTEEL |
| Godawari Power & Ispat Limited | GPIL | NSEI:GPIL |
| Steel Authority of India Limited | SAIL | NSEI:SAIL |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| JSL | NMDC | SUNFLAG | TATASTEEL | GPIL | SAIL | ||
| NSEI:JSL | NSEI:NMDC | NSEI:SUNFLAG | NSEI:TATASTEEL | NSEI:GPIL | NSEI:SAIL | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 39.0% | 6.2% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 16.3% | -5.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -6.9% | -14.5% | -4.7% | -36.2% | -16.2% | -33.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.2% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 16.7% | -13.3% | -17.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.1% | 41.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 23.4% | 9.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.4% | 32.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 22.0% | 5.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.4% | 32.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 19.3% | 4.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | 32.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 19.3% | 4.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.52x | 2.31x | 1.67x | 1.28x | 2.12x | 0.84x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.8x | 6.8x | 15.2x | 11.7x | 9.5x | 8.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.1x | 7.1x | 20.8x | 19.3x | 11.0x | 17.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 7.1x | 16.1x | 20.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 3.4x | 13.2x | 17.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.4x | 16.2x | 17.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 49,955 | 49,955 | 49,955 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 768,913 | 809,382 | 849,851 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (309,915) | (309,915) | (309,915) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 458,998 | 499,467 | 539,936 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,130.5 | 4,130.5 | 4,130.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 111.12 | 120.92 | 130.72 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 111.12 | 120.92 | 130.72 | 133.62 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.8% | -9.5% | -2.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | JSL | NMDC | SUNFLAG | TATASTEEL | GPIL | SAIL | |
| Enterprise Value | 596,715 | 552,468 | (18,555) | 2,795,711 | 113,792 | 861,835 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 22,744 | 100,922 | 1,582 | 100,476 | 6,943 | 9,669 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 16,417 | 9,745 | 77,791 | 57,760 | 4,714 | 49,756 | |
| (-) Debt | (64,019) | (42,758) | (6,241) | (948,011) | (3,088) | (369,339) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (203) | (114) | (16) | (1,832) | (311) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 571,654 | 620,263 | 54,561 | 2,004,105 | 122,050 | 551,921 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 823.7 | 8,791.8 | 180.2 | 12,483.5 | 646.8 | 4,130.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 694.05 | 70.55 | 302.75 | 160.54 | 188.71 | 133.62 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 694.05 | 70.55 | 302.75 | 160.54 | 188.71 | 133.62 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |