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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8,9x - 9,9x | 9,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7,6x - 8,4x | 8,0x |
| Fair Value | ₹66,06 - ₹71,89 | ₹68,98 |
| Upside | 7,8% - 17,3% | 12,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| SIS Limited | SIS | NSEI:SIS |
| CMS Info Systems Limited | CMSINFO | NSEI:CMSINFO |
| Prosegur Cash, S.A. | 0RNO | LSE:0RNO |
| Shakti Press Limited | 526841 | BSE:526841 |
| Kapston Services Limited | KAPSTON | NSEI:KAPSTON |
| Radiant Cash Management Services Limited | RADIANTCMS | NSEI:RADIANTCMS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SIS | CMSINFO | 0RNO | 526841 | KAPSTON | RADIANTCMS | ||
| NSEI:SIS | NSEI:CMSINFO | LSE:0RNO | BSE:526841 | NSEI:KAPSTON | NSEI:RADIANTCMS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.8% | 25.5% | -1.9% | -23.7% | 12.7% | 1.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 2.7% | 27.2% | 9.2% | 19.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.6% | 4.3% | 14.9% | -53.2% | 59.6% | -1.6% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.7% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 5.3% | 20.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.9% | 25.9% | 15.5% | 27.1% | 3.3% | 24.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.3% | 24.4% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 4.6% | 15.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.2% | 23.8% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 15.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.44x | 3.07x | 0.82x | 1.71x | 0.90x | 1.28x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.6x | 12.9x | 5.2x | 14.0x | 19.6x | 8.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.7x | 16.2x | 7.1x | 28.9x | 22.9x | 8.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.2x | 12.9x | 19.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | 11.2x | 12.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.9x | 9.4x | 9.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 668 | 668 | 668 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,966 | 6,280 | 6,594 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,144 | 1,144 | 1,144 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,110 | 7,424 | 7,738 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 106.7 | 106.7 | 106.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 66.63 | 69.58 | 72.52 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 66.63 | 69.58 | 72.52 | 61.29 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 8.7% | 13.5% | 18.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SIS | CMSINFO | 0RNO | 526841 | KAPSTON | RADIANTCMS | |
| Enterprise Value | 56,881 | 74,689 | 1,719 | 210 | 5,808 | 5,396 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8,032 | 6,456 | 568 | 2 | 85 | 1,604 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (16,836) | (1,863) | (1,256) | (116) | (1,287) | (460) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (41) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 48,077 | 79,281 | 1,012 | 96 | 4,605 | 6,540 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 144.2 | 164.4 | 1,473.5 | 3.5 | 20.3 | 106.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 333.50 | 482.35 | 0.69 | 27.25 | 226.99 | 61.29 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 333.50 | 482.35 | 0.69 | 27.25 | 226.99 | 61.29 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | EUR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |