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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 7,5x - 8,3x | 7,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,1x - 5,6x | 5,4x |
| Fair Value | ₹280,40 - ₹321,86 | ₹301,13 |
| Upside | -18,3% - -6,2% | -12,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Indian Oil Corporation Limited | IOC | NSEI:IOC |
| Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited | ONGC | NSEI:ONGC |
| Reliance Industries Limited | RELIANCE | NSEI:RELIANCE |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation | XOM_KZ | KAS:XOM_KZ |
| Chevron Corporation | CVX | NYSE:CVX |
| Oil India Limited | OIL | NSEI:OIL |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| IOC | ONGC | RELIANCE | XOM_KZ | CVX | OIL | ||
| NSEI:IOC | NSEI:ONGC | NSEI:RELIANCE | KAS:XOM_KZ | NYSE:CVX | NSEI:OIL | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 16.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 18.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 27.1% | 35.6% | 27.8% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 38.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -76.0% | -22.5% | 1.2% | -15.4% | -13.6% | -18.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 25.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 39.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 32.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 28.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.44x | 0.75x | 1.88x | 1.32x | 1.17x | 2.40x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.4x | 5.4x | 10.9x | 7.0x | 5.7x | 6.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 18.9x | 7.9x | 15.8x | 10.9x | 9.8x | 8.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 7.9x | 10.9x | 18.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -44.8x | 4.7x | 7.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 7.5x | 7.9x | 8.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 94,519 | 94,519 | 94,519 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 706,309 | 743,483 | 780,657 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (184,643) | (184,643) | (184,643) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 521,666 | 558,841 | 596,015 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,626.6 | 1,626.6 | 1,626.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 320.71 | 343.56 | 366.42 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 320.71 | 343.56 | 366.42 | 343.25 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.6% | 0.1% | 6.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | IOC | ONGC | RELIANCE | XOM_KZ | CVX | OIL | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,286,786 | 4,246,720 | 16,239,577 | 483,812 | 222,975 | 742,976 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 111,222 | 433,822 | 2,147,900 | 23,029 | 6,785 | 93,569 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34,353 | 47,438 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,634,009) | (1,914,893) | (3,575,250) | (48,309) | (29,611) | (278,212) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (6,901) | (839) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,763,999 | 2,765,649 | 14,812,227 | 485,984 | 246,748 | 558,333 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13,771.6 | 12,580.3 | 12,706.7 | 4,339.1 | 1,760.6 | 1,626.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 128.09 | 219.84 | 1,165.70 | 112.00 | 140.15 | 343.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 128.09 | 219.84 | 1,165.70 | 112.00 | 140.15 | 343.25 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | USD | USD | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |