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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7,2x - 8,0x | 7,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6,8x - 7,6x | 7,2x |
| Fair Value | ₹605,11 - ₹666,29 | ₹635,70 |
| Upside | -24,3% - -16,6% | -20,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited | 543299 | BSE:543299 |
| Vardhman Special Steels Limited | 534392 | BSE:534392 |
| JSW Steel Limited | 500228 | BSE:500228 |
| Sunflag Iron and Steel Company Limited | 500404 | BSE:500404 |
| VISA Steel Limited | 532721 | BSE:532721 |
| Kalyani Steels Limited | KSL | NSEI:KSL |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 543299 | 534392 | 500228 | 500404 | 532721 | KSL | ||
| BSE:543299 | BSE:534392 | BSE:500228 | BSE:500404 | BSE:532721 | NSEI:KSL | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 19.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | NM- | 11.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 5.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 4.4% | 12.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.8% | 38.5% | -30.3% | 9.6% | 124.0% | -4.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 17.0% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 12.4% | -0.2% | 18.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 14.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.0% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 0.3% | 18.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 18.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.70x | 0.99x | 2.03x | 1.37x | 3.11x | 1.77x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.6x | 9.1x | 15.4x | 12.2x | 152.7x | 9.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.0x | 11.0x | 24.6x | 17.2x | -110.9x | 12.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 12.6x | 152.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.2x | 3.5x | 9.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 7.6x | 8.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,553 | 3,553 | 3,553 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 25,629 | 26,978 | 28,327 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,043 | 1,043 | 1,043 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 26,673 | 28,021 | 29,370 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 43.8 | 43.8 | 43.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 609.53 | 640.35 | 671.18 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 609.53 | 640.35 | 671.18 | 799.20 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.7% | -19.9% | -16.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 543299 | 534392 | 500228 | 500404 | 532721 | KSL | |
| Enterprise Value | 239,401 | 18,034 | 3,445,083 | 50,621 | 17,388 | 33,929 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12,295 | 436 | 92,920 | 1,126 | 257 | 6,641 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (10,861) | (1,417) | (952,630) | (6,034) | (13,998) | (5,598) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 240,835 | 17,054 | 2,585,373 | 45,713 | 3,647 | 34,972 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 279.1 | 81.7 | 2,436.5 | 180.2 | 115.8 | 43.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 862.80 | 208.65 | 1,061.10 | 253.65 | 31.50 | 799.20 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 862.80 | 208.65 | 1,061.10 | 253.65 | 31.50 | 799.20 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |