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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,5x - 1,7x | 1,6x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,8x - 0,9x | 0,9x |
| Fair Value | ₹531,06 - ₹598,30 | ₹564,68 |
| Upside | 57,7% - 77,6% | 67,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Vibhor Steel Tubes Limited | VSTL | NSEI:VSTL |
| Jindal Steel & Power Limited | JINDALSTEL | NSEI:JINDALSTEL |
| APL Apollo Tubes Limited | APLAPOLLO | NSEI:APLAPOLLO |
| JTL Industries Limited | JTLIND | NSEI:JTLIND |
| Hi-Tech Pipes Limited | HITECH | NSEI:HITECH |
| Hariom Pipe Industries Limited | HARIOMPIPE | NSEI:HARIOMPIPE |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| VSTL | JINDALSTEL | APLAPOLLO | JTLIND | HITECH | HARIOMPIPE | |||
| NSEI:VSTL | NSEI:JINDALSTEL | NSEI:APLAPOLLO | NSEI:JTLIND | NSEI:HITECH | NSEI:HARIOMPIPE | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.3% | 4.9% | 20.4% | 44.7% | 14.7% | 53.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 28.1% | 13.1% | 28.7% | 67.3% | 26.3% | 65.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | NM | -0.3% | 12.2% | -6.6% | 10.8% | 20.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.3% | 18.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 10.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.5% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 11.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.8% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 9.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.8% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 9.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.42x | 2.11x | 2.10x | 1.55x | 0.81x | 1.07x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.7x | 16.0x | 47.5x | 22.2x | 17.8x | 11.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.30x | 1.83x | 2.09x | 1.62x | 0.70x | 0.81x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.42x | 1.55x | 2.11x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.60x | 2.05x | 2.50x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.54x | 1.62x | 1.70x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 12,883 | 12,883 | 12,883 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 19,842 | 20,887 | 21,931 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,334) | (3,334) | (3,334) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 16,508 | 17,552 | 18,597 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 533.08 | 566.80 | 600.53 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 533.08 | 566.80 | 600.53 | 336.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 58.3% | 68.3% | 78.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VSTL | JINDALSTEL | APLAPOLLO | JTLIND | HITECH | HARIOMPIPE | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,169 | 1,064,771 | 427,257 | 29,513 | 24,696 | 13,764 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 154 | 42,345 | 7,887 | 1,745 | 345 | 24 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,354) | (172,665) | (10,226) | (457) | (3,635) | (3,358) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,969 | 934,452 | 424,918 | 30,802 | 21,406 | 10,430 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 19.0 | 1,020.1 | 277.5 | 393.1 | 203.1 | 31.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 156.58 | 916.05 | 1,531.10 | 78.36 | 105.39 | 336.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 156.58 | 916.05 | 1,531.10 | 78.36 | 105.39 | 336.80 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |