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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 28,0x - 30,9x | 29,4x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7,3x - 8,1x | 7,7x |
Fair Value | ₹202,18 - ₹225,73 | ₹213,96 |
Upside | -12,3% - -2,1% | -7,2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
KNR Constructions Limited | KNRCON | NSEI:KNRCON |
CMM Infraprojects Limited | CMMIPL | NSEI:CMMIPL |
Dilip Buildcon Limited | DBL | NSEI:DBL |
KCL Infra Projects Limited | 531784 | BSE:531784 |
Coromandel Engineering Company Limited | 533167 | BSE:533167 |
Giriraj Civil Developers Limited | GIRIRAJ | NSEI:GIRIRAJ |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
KNRCON | CMMIPL | DBL | 531784 | 533167 | GIRIRAJ | ||
NSEI:KNRCON | NSEI:CMMIPL | NSEI:DBL | BSE:531784 | BSE:533167 | NSEI:GIRIRAJ | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 14.6% | -26.4% | -4.4% | NM- | NM- | 24.2% | |
3Y CAGR | 15.4% | -35.7% | -12.6% | NM- | NM- | 43.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 70.7% | 108.3% | 45.2% | -849.2% | 31.7% | 102.1% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 24.5% | 5.5% | 13.9% | -5.2% | 0.1% | 8.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 22.8% | -21.0% | 8.8% | -2.1% | 0.4% | 7.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 24.1% | 1.8% | 11.7% | -15.6% | 0.8% | 9.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 30.9% | 1.8% | 15.7% | -64.7% | -1.0% | 8.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.41x | 0.63x | 1.29x | 6.62x | 3.56x | 3.07x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 35.2x | 8.2x | -10.2x | -344.4x | 37.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 5.0x | 213.0x | 10.2x | -10.0x | -147.9x | 40.9x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -344.4x | 4.6x | 35.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 10.8x | 111.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 28.0x | 29.4x | 30.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 160 | 160 | 160 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,468 | 4,703 | 4,939 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (517) | (517) | (517) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 3,951 | 4,186 | 4,421 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 23.9 | 23.9 | 23.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 165.17 | 175.00 | 184.84 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 165.17 | 175.00 | 184.84 | 230.50 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -28.3% | -24.1% | -19.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | KNRCON | CMMIPL | DBL | 531784 | 533167 | GIRIRAJ | |
Enterprise Value | 72,798 | 653 | 148,003 | 307 | 1,721 | 6,031 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,252 | 95 | 7,116 | 3 | 40 | 51 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (14,036) | (724) | (90,398) | (39) | (208) | (569) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 64,015 | 29 | 64,722 | 271 | 1,553 | 5,514 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 281.2 | 15.7 | 146.2 | 192.5 | 33.2 | 23.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 227.62 | 1.85 | 442.65 | 1.41 | 46.74 | 230.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 227.62 | 1.85 | 442.65 | 1.41 | 46.74 | 230.50 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |