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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,0x - 13,3x | 12,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9,5x - 10,5x | 10,0x |
| Fair Value | ₹70,76 - ₹79,13 | ₹74,94 |
| Upside | 19,0% - 33,1% | 26,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Western Carriers (India) Limited | WCIL | NSEI:WCIL |
| Container Corporation of India Limited | CONCOR | NSEI:CONCOR |
| Mahindra Logistics Limited | MAHLOG | NSEI:MAHLOG |
| Transport Corporation of India Limited | TCI | NSEI:TCI |
| TCI Express Limited | TCIEXP | NSEI:TCIEXP |
| Gateway Distriparks Limited | GATEWAY | NSEI:GATEWAY |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| WCIL | CONCOR | MAHLOG | TCI | TCIEXP | GATEWAY | ||
| NSEI:WCIL | NSEI:CONCOR | NSEI:MAHLOG | NSEI:TCI | NSEI:TCIEXP | NSEI:GATEWAY | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 0.7% | 20.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 33.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 21.9% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 3.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.5% | 6.3% | 241.2% | 11.2% | -28.2% | -13.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.8% | 21.4% | 2.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 25.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.3% | 22.3% | 1.5% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 24.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 21.5% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 23.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 21.7% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 21.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.59x | 4.10x | 0.47x | 1.86x | 1.99x | 2.23x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 18.9x | 10.1x | 17.5x | 17.2x | 10.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 25.5x | 49.6x | 24.0x | 19.3x | 13.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 17.2x | 18.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.5x | 9.5x | 14.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.0x | 12.7x | 13.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,242 | 3,242 | 3,242 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 38,985 | 41,037 | 43,089 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,370) | (4,370) | (4,370) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 34,616 | 36,667 | 38,719 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 499.6 | 499.6 | 499.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 69.28 | 73.39 | 77.49 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 69.28 | 73.39 | 77.49 | 59.45 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.5% | 23.4% | 30.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WCIL | CONCOR | MAHLOG | TCI | TCIEXP | GATEWAY | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,303 | 365,490 | 28,614 | 81,807 | 24,181 | 34,074 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 288 | 38,878 | 966 | 3,370 | 1,059 | 432 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,904) | (9,150) | (8,688) | (2,217) | (89) | (4,801) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (164) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,687 | 395,219 | 20,749 | 82,960 | 25,150 | 29,704 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 102.0 | 609.3 | 72.1 | 76.6 | 38.4 | 499.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 75.40 | 648.65 | 287.65 | 1,082.90 | 655.30 | 59.45 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 75.40 | 648.65 | 287.65 | 1,082.90 | 655.30 | 59.45 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |