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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15,0x - 16,6x | 15,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11,4x - 12,7x | 12,1x |
| Fair Value | ₹364,39 - ₹444,60 | ₹404,50 |
| Upside | -40,1% - -27,0% | -33,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited | 532181 | BSE:532181 |
| Kesar Terminals & Infrastructure Limited | 533289 | BSE:533289 |
| Sanmit Infra Limited | 532435 | BSE:532435 |
| Essar Shipping Limited | 533704 | BSE:533704 |
| Gagan Gases Limited | 524624 | BSE:524624 |
| Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited | CHENNPETRO | NSEI:CHENNPETRO |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 532181 | 533289 | 532435 | 533704 | 524624 | CHENNPETRO | ||
| BSE:532181 | BSE:533289 | BSE:532435 | BSE:533704 | BSE:524624 | NSEI:CHENNPETRO | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.6% | NM- | 63.5% | NM- | -9.3% | 65.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 44.3% | NM- | -24.6% | 35.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -24.3% | 197.2% | -84.4% | 307.3% | 329.5% | -85.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | -96.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 36.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% | -13.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 22.4% | -8.1% | 7.5% | -488.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 37.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.04x | 4.64x | 1.26x | 6.76x | 1.71x | 0.25x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.3x | 16.7x | 41.8x | 14.9x | 32.2x | 11.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.1x | 161.4x | 89.7x | 17.9x | 40.8x | 20.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 15.1x | 40.8x | 161.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -39.0x | 2.1x | 10.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.0x | 15.8x | 16.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 7,425 | 7,425 | 7,425 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 111,350 | 117,210 | 123,071 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (59,202) | (59,202) | (59,202) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 52,148 | 58,009 | 63,869 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 148.9 | 148.9 | 148.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 350.20 | 389.55 | 428.91 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 350.20 | 389.55 | 428.91 | 608.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -42.5% | -36.0% | -29.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 532181 | 533289 | 532435 | 533704 | 524624 | CHENNPETRO | |
| Enterprise Value | 80,466 | 1,606 | 1,517 | 22,561 | 87 | 149,859 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 6,233 | 21 | 2 | 62 | 4 | 1,935 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (29) | (828) | (114) | (17,465) | (4) | (61,137) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 86,671 | 799 | 1,405 | 5,158 | 87 | 90,657 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 318.0 | 10.9 | 158.0 | 207.0 | 4.5 | 148.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 272.55 | 73.10 | 8.89 | 24.92 | 19.26 | 608.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 272.55 | 73.10 | 8.89 | 24.92 | 19.26 | 608.80 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |