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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 21,6x - 23,9x | 22,8x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 15,4x - 17,1x | 16,2x |
Fair Value | ₹396,08 - ₹439,89 | ₹417,98 |
Upside | -8,9% - 1,1% | -3,9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Sundaram Brake Linings Limited | SUNDRMBRAK | NSEI:SUNDRMBRAK |
Hindustan Composites Limited | HINDCOMPOS | NSEI:HINDCOMPOS |
Rico Auto Industries Limited | RICOAUTO | NSEI:RICOAUTO |
Rane Holdings Limited | RANEHOLDIN | NSEI:RANEHOLDIN |
Endurance Technologies Limited | ENDURANCE | NSEI:ENDURANCE |
ASK Automotive Limited | ASKAUTOLTD | NSEI:ASKAUTOLTD |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
SUNDRMBRAK | HINDCOMPOS | RICOAUTO | RANEHOLDIN | ENDURANCE | ASKAUTOLTD | ||
NSEI:SUNDRMBRAK | NSEI:HINDCOMPOS | NSEI:RICOAUTO | NSEI:RANEHOLDIN | NSEI:ENDURANCE | NSEI:ASKAUTOLTD | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.5% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 32.8% | 23.7% | 36.0% | 47.5% | 8.9% | 17.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -52.4% | 7.5% | -9.9% | -5.6% | 24.1% | 36.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.5% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 17.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 3.0% | 17.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.09x | 2.04x | 0.73x | 0.86x | 2.40x | 2.56x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 36.3x | 11.6x | 7.7x | 10.1x | 18.3x | 23.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 85.5x | 14.1x | 17.5x | 16.7x | 27.3x | 27.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 11.6x | 36.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.8x | 21.8x | 21.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.6x | 22.8x | 23.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 3,796 | 3,796 | 3,796 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 82,123 | 86,445 | 90,768 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,969) | (3,969) | (3,969) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 78,154 | 82,476 | 86,799 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 197.1 | 197.1 | 197.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 396.43 | 418.36 | 440.28 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 396.43 | 418.36 | 440.28 | 434.95 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -8.9% | -3.8% | 1.2% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SUNDRMBRAK | HINDCOMPOS | RICOAUTO | RANEHOLDIN | ENDURANCE | ASKAUTOLTD | |
Enterprise Value | 3,695 | 6,343 | 16,089 | 30,736 | 271,250 | 89,716 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3 | 260 | 240 | 496 | 11,160 | 30 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (495) | (1) | (7,259) | (11,007) | (7,626) | (3,999) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,204 | 6,602 | 9,071 | 20,225 | 274,785 | 85,747 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3.9 | 14.8 | 135.3 | 14.3 | 140.7 | 197.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 814.25 | 447.05 | 67.05 | 1,416.50 | 1,953.50 | 434.95 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 814.25 | 447.05 | 67.05 | 1,416.50 | 1,953.50 | 434.95 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |