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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -29,3x - -32,4x | -30,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 29,8x - 33,0x | 31,4x |
| Fair Value | ₦0,46 - ₦0,52 | ₦0,49 |
| Upside | 2,7% - 14,7% | 8,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ikeja Hotel Plc | IKEJAHOTEL | NGSE:IKEJAHOTEL |
| Tantalizers PLC | TANTALIZER | NGSE:TANTALIZER |
| Transcorp Hotels Plc | TRANSCOHOT | NGSE:TRANSCOHOT |
| Ainsworth Game Technology Limited | AINS.F | OTCPK:AINS.F |
| Ghida Al-Sultan Company | 9567 | SASE:9567 |
| Secure Electronic Technology Plc | NSLTECH | NGSE:NSLTECH |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| IKEJAHOTEL | TANTALIZER | TRANSCOHOT | AINS.F | 9567 | NSLTECH | ||
| NGSE:IKEJAHOTEL | NGSE:TANTALIZER | NGSE:TRANSCOHOT | OTCPK:AINS.F | SASE:9567 | NGSE:NSLTECH | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 26.3% | NM- | 33.4% | 19.9% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 75.5% | NM- | 59.1% | NM- | 16.8% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 125.5% | 4.6% | 63.7% | -33.5% | -61.9% | -73.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -3.1% | -27.2% | 22.3% | -4.4% | 9.3% | -1.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.9% | -25.4% | 33.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | -1.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.0% | -23.6% | 32.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% | -1.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.0% | -23.6% | 32.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% | -1.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.59x | 10.47x | 20.24x | 1.07x | 0.87x | 0.76x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.0x | -63.4x | 56.5x | 5.6x | 13.7x | 109.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 2.1x | -44.4x | 63.0x | 11.4x | 19.7x | -40.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -44.4x | 11.4x | 63.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -78.0x | -42.9x | -36.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -29.3x | -30.9x | -32.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (83) | (83) | (83) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,424 | 2,552 | 2,679 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (278) | (278) | (278) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,146 | 2,274 | 2,401 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,631.5 | 5,631.5 | 5,631.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.43 | ||||
| FX Rate: NGN/NGN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.45 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -15.3% | -10.3% | -5.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | IKEJAHOTEL | TANTALIZER | TRANSCOHOT | AINS.F | 9567 | NSLTECH | |
| Enterprise Value | 11,901 | 12,448 | 1,489,056 | 276 | 150 | 2,812 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 22,739 | 851 | 9,697 | 20 | 10 | 53 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 2,300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (12,405) | (299) | (16,085) | (19) | (29) | (331) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 37 | 0 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 22,272 | 13,000 | 1,485,167 | 276 | 131 | 2,534 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,162.4 | 5,000.0 | 10,242.5 | 336.8 | 3.2 | 5,631.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 10.30 | 2.60 | 145.00 | 0.82 | 41.00 | 0.45 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 10.30 | 2.60 | 145.00 | 0.49 | 41.00 | 0.45 | |
| Trading Currency | NGN | NGN | NGN | USD | SAR | NGN | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |