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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -395,6x - -437,3x | -416,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 36,4x - 40,2x | 38,3x |
| Fair Value | $203,18 - $223,36 | $213,27 |
| Upside | -33,5% - -26,9% | -30,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| SideChannel, Inc. | SDCH | OTCPK:SDCH |
| ServiceNow, Inc. | NOW | NYSE:NOW |
| CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | CRWD | NasdaqGS:CRWD |
| Datadog, Inc. | DDOG | NasdaqGS:DDOG |
| Nutanix, Inc. | NTNX | NasdaqGS:NTNX |
| Zscaler, Inc. | ZS | NasdaqGS:ZS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SDCH | NOW | CRWD | DDOG | NTNX | ZS | ||
| OTCPK:SDCH | NYSE:NOW | NasdaqGS:CRWD | NasdaqGS:DDOG | NasdaqGS:NTNX | NasdaqGS:ZS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 46.2% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 39.1% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 56.1% | 35.8% | -108.8% | 47.5% | 150.7% | 15.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -10.6% | 13.4% | -3.2% | 0.3% | -19.5% | -16.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -31.6% | 15.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% | -5.5% | -11.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -10.1% | 17.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | -4.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.6% | 18.4% | -0.3% | 2.7% | 8.9% | -2.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.82x | 17.02x | 28.32x | 14.94x | 7.95x | 17.97x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -27.7x | 92.5x | -9156.3x | 546.2x | 89.0x | -626.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -19.9x | 128.8x | -641.4x | 1417.5x | 131.2x | -371.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -9156.3x | 89.0x | 546.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -429.8x | -208.9x | -78.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -395.6x | -416.5x | -437.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (73) | (73) | (73) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 28,916 | 30,438 | 31,960 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,787 | 1,787 | 1,787 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 30,703 | 32,225 | 33,747 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 155.7 | 155.7 | 155.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 197.20 | 206.98 | 216.75 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 197.20 | 206.98 | 216.75 | 305.41 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -35.4% | -32.2% | -29.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SDCH | NOW | CRWD | DDOG | NTNX | ZS | |
| Enterprise Value | 14 | 194,728 | 117,065 | 42,337 | 19,341 | 45,764 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1 | 6,597 | 4,614 | 4,450 | 1,882 | 3,006 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 4,808 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (2,399) | (785) | (1,877) | (1,496) | (1,229) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (40) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 15 | 203,734 | 120,925 | 44,910 | 19,728 | 47,551 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 231.2 | 207.5 | 249.2 | 345.4 | 268.1 | 155.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.06 | 982.08 | 485.16 | 130.04 | 73.59 | 305.41 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.06 | 982.08 | 485.16 | 130.04 | 73.59 | 305.41 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |