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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9,0x - 9,9x | 9,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7,7x - 8,5x | 8,1x |
| Fair Value | $16,95 - $29,28 | $23,11 |
| Upside | -44,4% - -3,9% | -24,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | CMG | NYSE:CMG |
| Denny's Corporation | DENN | NasdaqCM:DENN |
| Brinker International, Inc. | EAT | NYSE:EAT |
| United Parks & Resorts Inc. | PRKS | NYSE:PRKS |
| Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | RRGB | NasdaqGS:RRGB |
| Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | PLAY | NasdaqGS:PLAY |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CMG | DENN | EAT | PRKS | RRGB | PLAY | ||
| NYSE:CMG | NasdaqCM:DENN | NYSE:EAT | NYSE:PRKS | NasdaqGS:RRGB | NasdaqGS:PLAY | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.0% | -7.4% | 3.5% | 8.4% | -17.3% | 11.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 28.5% | -5.4% | 6.9% | 2.3% | -15.8% | 13.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.6% | -15.7% | 66.1% | -2.8% | 17.6% | -9.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.0% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 29.2% | 3.4% | 17.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.4% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 37.6% | 5.0% | 23.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.2% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 37.4% | 3.0% | 22.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 37.5% | 4.0% | 21.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.65x | 1.34x | 1.91x | 2.82x | 0.50x | 2.14x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 32.6x | 9.7x | 14.2x | 7.5x | 12.4x | 9.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 38.1x | 12.8x | 19.8x | 10.1x | -142.8x | 20.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.5x | 12.4x | 32.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -533.8x | 10.1x | 15.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.0x | 9.4x | 9.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 458 | 458 | 458 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,101 | 4,316 | 4,532 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,464) | (3,464) | (3,464) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 636 | 852 | 1,068 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.6 | 34.6 | 34.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 18.41 | 24.65 | 30.89 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 18.41 | 24.65 | 30.89 | 30.48 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -39.6% | -19.1% | 1.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CMG | DENN | EAT | PRKS | RRGB | PLAY | |
| Enterprise Value | 75,622 | 606 | 9,782 | 4,839 | 626 | 4,518 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,415 | 2 | 18 | 76 | 24 | 12 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 718 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,633) | (415) | (1,719) | (2,360) | (553) | (3,476) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 73,121 | 209 | 8,080 | 2,555 | 99 | 1,054 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,347.4 | 51.3 | 44.5 | 55.0 | 17.7 | 34.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 54.27 | 4.08 | 181.78 | 46.48 | 5.57 | 30.48 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 54.27 | 4.08 | 181.78 | 46.48 | 5.57 | 30.48 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |