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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15,3x - 16,9x | 16,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12,6x - 13,9x | 13,3x |
| Fair Value | $30,02 - $33,91 | $31,97 |
| Upside | -14,3% - -3,2% | -8,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| FedEx Corporation | FDX | NYSE:FDX |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | CHRW | NasdaqGS:CHRW |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | EXPD | NYSE:EXPD |
| Forward Air Corporation | FWRD | NasdaqGS:FWRD |
| Ryder System, Inc. | R | NYSE:R |
| Hub Group, Inc. | HUBG | NasdaqGS:HUBG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| FDX | CHRW | EXPD | FWRD | R | HUBG | ||
| NYSE:FDX | NasdaqGS:CHRW | NYSE:EXPD | NasdaqGS:FWRD | NYSE:R | NasdaqGS:HUBG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 19.8% | -2.0% | 6.3% | -16.0% | 27.3% | -2.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 5.2% | -12.9% | -18.3% | -31.7% | 16.9% | -13.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.1% | 49.6% | 24.3% | -26.7% | 21.6% | -16.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.2% | 4.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 3.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.7% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.7% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.00x | 0.77x | 1.37x | 1.16x | 1.26x | 0.67x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 16.7x | 13.1x | 13.7x | 5.8x | 7.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.0x | 17.6x | 13.8x | 42.5x | 15.9x | 18.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 13.0x | 15.9x | 42.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.1x | 17.9x | 22.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.3x | 16.1x | 16.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 142 | 142 | 142 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,173 | 2,287 | 2,402 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (420) | (420) | (420) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,752 | 1,867 | 1,981 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 61.2 | 61.2 | 61.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 28.61 | 30.48 | 32.35 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 28.61 | 30.48 | 32.35 | 35.02 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -18.3% | -13.0% | -7.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FDX | CHRW | EXPD | FWRD | R | HUBG | |
| Enterprise Value | 87,975 | 13,237 | 15,018 | 2,950 | 15,883 | 2,565 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,502 | 130 | 1,319 | 116 | 151 | 113 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (37,416) | (1,729) | (588) | (2,153) | (8,825) | (485) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (2) | (72) | 0 | (48) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 56,061 | 11,638 | 15,746 | 841 | 7,209 | 2,145 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 239.6 | 118.7 | 136.9 | 30.4 | 41.3 | 61.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 233.98 | 98.02 | 114.98 | 27.63 | 174.37 | 35.02 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 233.98 | 98.02 | 114.98 | 27.63 | 174.37 | 35.02 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |