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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 10,8x - 11,9x | 11,3x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8,2x - 9,1x | 8,6x |
Fair Value | $6,58 - $11,22 | $8,90 |
Upside | -17,1% - 41,5% | 12,2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Actelis Networks, Inc. | ASNS | NasdaqCM:ASNS |
Inseego Corp. | INSG | NasdaqGS:INSG |
Extreme Networks, Inc. | EXTR | NasdaqGS:EXTR |
Cambium Networks Corporation | CMBM | NasdaqGM:CMBM |
Clearfield, Inc. | CLFD | NasdaqGM:CLFD |
CommScope Holding Company, Inc. | COMM | NasdaqGS:COMM |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ASNS | INSG | EXTR | CMBM | CLFD | COMM | ||
NasdaqCM:ASNS | NasdaqGS:INSG | NasdaqGS:EXTR | NasdaqGM:CMBM | NasdaqGM:CLFD | NasdaqGS:COMM | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -5.0% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -13.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 47.9% | 121.6% | -98.1% | -1810.7% | 60.6% | 61.5% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -68.9% | -9.2% | 6.4% | -1.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -130.9% | -18.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 17.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -50.2% | 2.9% | -0.5% | -25.0% | -9.5% | 17.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -49.4% | 3.7% | 0.1% | -44.4% | -0.8% | 19.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.71x | 0.72x | 2.20x | 0.35x | 2.70x | 2.23x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -1.4x | 19.7x | 1704.7x | -0.8x | -324.5x | 11.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -1.4x | 26.1x | -128.1x | -0.7x | -53.3x | 18.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -324.5x | -0.8x | 1704.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.9x | 11.4x | 20.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.8x | 11.3x | 11.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 864 | 864 | 864 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,290 | 9,779 | 10,268 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8,137) | (8,137) | (8,137) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,154 | 1,643 | 2,132 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 216.6 | 216.6 | 216.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 5.33 | 7.58 | 9.84 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.33 | 7.58 | 9.84 | 7.93 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -32.8% | -4.4% | 24.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ASNS | INSG | EXTR | CMBM | CLFD | COMM | |
Enterprise Value | 6 | 134 | 2,400 | 60 | 481 | 9,854 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1 | 35 | 185 | 46 | 112 | 493 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1) | (60) | (227) | (77) | (26) | (7,386) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (1,244) | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6 | 109 | 2,358 | 29 | 609 | 1,718 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 10.8 | 15.0 | 133.2 | 28.2 | 13.8 | 216.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.53 | 7.25 | 17.71 | 1.04 | 44.00 | 7.93 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.53 | 7.25 | 17.71 | 1.04 | 44.00 | 7.93 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |