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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19,7x - 21,8x | 20,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 15,9x - 17,6x | 16,8x |
| Fair Value | $46,38 - $53,32 | $49,85 |
| Upside | -25,7% - -14,6% | -20,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| The Andersons, Inc. | ANDE | NasdaqGS:ANDE |
| United Natural Foods, Inc. | UNFI | NYSE:UNFI |
| US Foods Holding Corp. | USFD | NYSE:USFD |
| Maplebear Inc. | CART | NasdaqGS:CART |
| Dollar Tree, Inc. | DLTR | NasdaqGS:DLTR |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. | CHEF | NasdaqGS:CHEF |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ANDE | UNFI | USFD | CART | DLTR | CHEF | ||
| NasdaqGS:ANDE | NYSE:UNFI | NYSE:USFD | NasdaqGS:CART | NasdaqGS:DLTR | NasdaqGS:CHEF | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 30.4% | -12.0% | 8.2% | NM- | -0.9% | 17.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 4.4% | -30.1% | 34.4% | NM- | -5.9% | 129.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -23.9% | 123.8% | 7.8% | 121.4% | -15.2% | 17.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | -16.0% | 7.7% | 1.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.9% | -70.5% | 10.6% | 3.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.0% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 0.17x | 0.55x | 3.06x | 1.41x | 0.86x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 10.4x | 13.3x | 21.3x | 12.1x | 16.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.8x | 29.5x | 18.5x | 23.2x | 16.3x | 24.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.8x | 18.5x | 29.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -66.9x | 19.6x | 23.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.7x | 20.8x | 21.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 134 | 134 | 134 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,654 | 2,793 | 2,933 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (795) | (795) | (795) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,858 | 1,998 | 2,138 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 45.68 | 49.11 | 52.54 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 45.68 | 49.11 | 52.54 | 62.41 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -26.8% | -21.3% | -15.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ANDE | UNFI | USFD | CART | DLTR | CHEF | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,698 | 5,320 | 21,928 | 9,852 | 19,929 | 3,334 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 569 | 48 | 59 | 1,630 | 1,257 | 117 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5,009 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (902) | (3,719) | (5,434) | (22) | (7,831) | (912) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (234) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (188) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,168 | 1,649 | 16,553 | 11,272 | 18,364 | 2,539 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 33.9 | 60.5 | 230.5 | 262.5 | 215.1 | 40.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 34.41 | 27.25 | 71.81 | 42.94 | 85.38 | 62.41 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 34.41 | 27.25 | 71.81 | 42.94 | 85.38 | 62.41 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |