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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -29,2x - -32,3x | -30,8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -35,3x - -39,0x | -37,1x |
Fair Value | $33,93 - $37,42 | $35,68 |
Upside | -37,5% - -31,1% | -34,3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Globalstar, Inc. | GSAT | NasdaqGS:GSAT |
Iridium Communications Inc. | IRDM | NasdaqGS:IRDM |
Bandwidth Inc. | BAND | NasdaqGS:BAND |
NextPlat Corp | NXPL | NasdaqCM:NXPL |
Anterix Inc. | ATEX | NasdaqCM:ATEX |
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. | ASTS | NasdaqGS:ASTS |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
GSAT | IRDM | BAND | NXPL | ATEX | ASTS | ||
NasdaqGS:GSAT | NasdaqGS:IRDM | NasdaqGS:BAND | NasdaqCM:NXPL | NasdaqCM:ATEX | NasdaqGS:ASTS | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 82.3% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 63.8% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 122.4% | 7.5% | 58.0% | 0.6% | 6.5% | -7.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -28.1% | 13.2% | -2.8% | -43.5% | -3158.2% | -5692.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.1% | 15.1% | -5.9% | -24.7% | -1251.9% | NA | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -0.2% | 24.5% | -2.7% | -15.2% | -813.0% | -5494.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.0% | 25.7% | -1.9% | -15.6% | -813.0% | -5397.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 12.94x | 5.02x | 1.10x | 0.05x | 60.56x | 2822.12x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 35.8x | 10.1x | 27.3x | -0.4x | -7.5x | -66.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 1287.9x | 19.5x | -57.7x | -0.3x | -7.4x | -52.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -57.7x | -0.3x | 1287.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -16.8x | -4.0x | -2.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -29.2x | -30.8x | -32.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (250) | (250) | (250) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,315 | 7,700 | 8,085 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 196 | 196 | 196 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 7,511 | 7,896 | 8,281 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 244.6 | 244.6 | 244.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 30.71 | 32.28 | 33.86 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 30.71 | 32.28 | 33.86 | 54.29 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -43.4% | -40.5% | -37.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | GSAT | IRDM | BAND | NXPL | ATEX | ASTS | |
Enterprise Value | 3,285 | 4,302 | 855 | 3 | 365 | 13,083 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 241 | 79 | 42 | 18 | 47 | 874 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (537) | (1,809) | (479) | (2) | (5) | (480) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (198) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,990 | 2,643 | 418 | 18 | 407 | 13,279 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 126.6 | 106.1 | 30.1 | 26.0 | 18.7 | 244.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 23.62 | 24.91 | 13.86 | 0.71 | 21.78 | 54.29 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 23.62 | 24.91 | 13.86 | 0.71 | 21.78 | 54.29 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |