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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 24,8x - 27,4x | 26,1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,0x - 5,5x | 5,2x |
Fair Value | $4,82 - $6,92 | $5,87 |
Upside | -57,6% - -39,1% | -48,3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Zillow Group, Inc. | ZG | NasdaqGS:ZG |
Anywhere Real Estate Inc. | HOUS | NYSE:HOUS |
HG Holdings, Inc. | STLY | OTCPK:STLY |
BBX Capital, Inc. | BBXI.A | OTCPK:BBXI.A |
Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | CHCI | NasdaqCM:CHCI |
Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. | ASPS | NasdaqGS:ASPS |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ZG | HOUS | STLY | BBXI.A | CHCI | ASPS | ||
NasdaqGS:ZG | NYSE:HOUS | OTCPK:STLY | OTCPK:BBXI.A | NasdaqCM:CHCI | NasdaqGS:ASPS | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -30.0% | NM- | NM- | 35.2% | -22.9% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -53.9% | NM- | NM- | 26.6% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 39.8% | 94.6% | 38.2% | -30.0% | 19.3% | 283.1% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -1.3% | 3.8% | -14.2% | -5.0% | 17.5% | -14.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -12.7% | -0.1% | -22.1% | -10.3% | 20.5% | -11.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -8.5% | 1.1% | -14.4% | -17.5% | 20.1% | 2.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -5.6% | 1.2% | -8.1% | -17.5% | 20.6% | 5.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 8.24x | 0.62x | 0.06x | 0.55x | 2.70x | 1.74x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -517.6x | 13.8x | -0.8x | -4.0x | 12.8x | 19.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -147.9x | 50.2x | -0.7x | -3.2x | 13.1x | 33.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -147.9x | -0.7x | 50.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -1194.9x | -15.6x | -6.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 24.8x | 26.1x | 27.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 220 | 231 | 243 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (167) | (167) | (167) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 52 | 64 | 76 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.1 | 11.1 | 11.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 4.73 | 5.77 | 6.81 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.73 | 5.77 | 6.81 | 11.36 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -58.4% | -49.2% | -40.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ZG | HOUS | STLY | BBXI.A | CHCI | ASPS | |
Enterprise Value | 19,144 | 3,613 | (14) | 170 | 150 | 293 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,167 | 266 | 20 | 94 | 30 | 30 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 166 | 14 | 69 | 6 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (328) | (3,343) | (1) | (218) | (6) | (197) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (4) | 0 | (63) | 0 | (1) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 19,983 | 698 | 20 | 53 | 181 | 126 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 242.3 | 112.0 | 5.1 | 13.8 | 10.1 | 11.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 82.48 | 6.23 | 3.90 | 3.81 | 17.97 | 11.36 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 82.48 | 6.23 | 3.90 | 3.81 | 17.97 | 11.36 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |