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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -27,4x - -30,3x | -28,9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -149,0x - -164,7x | -156,8x |
Fair Value | $7,04 - $8,24 | $7,64 |
Upside | 3,1% - 20,6% | 11,9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
CoreWeave, Inc. | CRWV | NasdaqGS:CRWV |
Cipher Mining Inc. | CIFR | NasdaqGS:CIFR |
Core Scientific, Inc. | CORZ | NasdaqGS:CORZ |
Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc. | GREE | NasdaqGS:GREE |
Riot Platforms, Inc. | RIOT | NasdaqCM:RIOT |
Applied Digital Corporation | APLD | NasdaqGS:APLD |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
CRWV | CIFR | CORZ | GREE | RIOT | APLD | ||
NasdaqGS:CRWV | NasdaqGS:CIFR | NasdaqGS:CORZ | NasdaqGS:GREE | NasdaqCM:RIOT | NasdaqGS:APLD | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | NM | -1360.6% | -284.0% | 15.6% | -2976.7% | -59.5% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -21.4% | -314.0% | -10.8% | -13.9% | -52.8% | -188.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -6.3% | -44.7% | 2.2% | -29.0% | -50.5% | -79.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 16.9% | -27.0% | -2.9% | -20.7% | 24.5% | -49.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 10.3% | -78.2% | -28.9% | -20.8% | -81.9% | -39.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 24.08x | 7.53x | 8.93x | 1.39x | 7.12x | 11.32x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 43.3x | 117.8x | -246.2x | 84.5x | -27.7x | 101.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 232.9x | -9.6x | -30.9x | -6.7x | -8.7x | -28.9x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -30.9x | -8.7x | 232.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -32.5x | -20.4x | -15.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -27.4x | -28.9x | -30.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (87) | (87) | (87) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,375 | 2,500 | 2,625 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (968) | (968) | (968) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,407 | 1,532 | 1,657 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 224.7 | 224.7 | 224.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 6.26 | 6.82 | 7.37 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.26 | 6.82 | 7.37 | 6.83 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -8.4% | -0.2% | 7.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CRWV | CIFR | CORZ | GREE | RIOT | APLD | |
Enterprise Value | 65,108 | 1,145 | 3,668 | 83 | 3,261 | 2,503 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,276 | 23 | 698 | 5 | 235 | 69 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 102 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (11,897) | (58) | (1,194) | (67) | (619) | (994) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | (1,163) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (43) | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 53,426 | 1,158 | 3,172 | 20 | 2,883 | 1,535 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 480.0 | 371.2 | 297.8 | 14.5 | 357.3 | 224.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 111.31 | 3.12 | 10.65 | 1.40 | 8.07 | 6.83 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 111.31 | 3.12 | 10.65 | 1.40 | 8.07 | 6.83 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |