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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,1x - 0,2x | 0,1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,1x - 0,1x | 0,1x |
| Fair Value | ₨121,35 - ₨132,58 | ₨126,96 |
| Upside | 1,8% - 11,2% | 6,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Nishat (Chunian) Limited | NCL | KASE:NCL |
| Interloop Limited | ILP | KASE:ILP |
| Artistic Denim Mills Limited | ADMM | KASE:ADMM |
| Nishat Mills Limited | NML | KASE:NML |
| Suraj Cotton Mills Limited | SURC | KASE:SURC |
| Towellers Limited | TOWL | KASE:TOWL |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| NCL | ILP | ADMM | NML | SURC | TOWL | |||
| KASE:NCL | KASE:ILP | KASE:ADMM | KASE:NML | KASE:SURC | KASE:TOWL | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.1% | 33.4% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 26.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 13.1% | 42.2% | 28.5% | 26.6% | 19.6% | 33.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.4% | 22.3% | -4.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.4% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 22.7% | 13.2% | 9.1% | -0.2% | 20.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.5% | 17.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.7% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | -0.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.58x | 1.06x | 0.79x | 0.27x | 0.23x | 0.14x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.7x | 8.6x | 13.9x | 5.5x | 3.8x | -16.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.09x | 0.50x | 0.18x | 0.18x | 0.23x | 0.16x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.23x | 0.58x | 1.06x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -0.01x | 0.16x | 0.29x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.14x | 0.15x | 0.16x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 12,530 | 12,530 | 12,530 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,782 | 1,876 | 1,970 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 249 | 249 | 249 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,032 | 2,126 | 2,219 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 119.51 | 125.03 | 130.55 | |||||
| FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 119.51 | 125.03 | 130.55 | 119.26 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.2% | 4.8% | 9.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NCL | ILP | ADMM | NML | SURC | TOWL | |
| Enterprise Value | 51,462 | 181,822 | 15,300 | 56,874 | 6,401 | 1,778 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 712 | 1,899 | 341 | 16,105 | 2,038 | 880 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 191 | 0 | 76,786 | 1,236 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (43,769) | (96,907) | (12,246) | (98,497) | (3,251) | (631) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1,360) | 0 | (13,411) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,404 | 85,644 | 3,394 | 37,857 | 6,425 | 2,027 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 240.1 | 1,401.7 | 84.0 | 351.6 | 48.8 | 17.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 35.00 | 61.10 | 40.41 | 107.67 | 131.63 | 119.26 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 35.00 | 61.10 | 40.41 | 107.67 | 131.63 | 119.26 | |
| Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |