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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6,7x - 7,4x | 7,0x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 0,8x - 0,9x | 0,8x |
Fair Value | ₨179,51 - ₨241,98 | ₨210,75 |
Upside | 13,2% - 52,6% | 32,9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Tata Textile Mills Limited | TATM | KASE:TATM |
Ideal Spinning Mills Limited | IDSM | KASE:IDSM |
Din Textile Mills Limited | DINT | KASE:DINT |
Pak Agro Packaging Limited | GEMPAPL | KASE:GEMPAPL |
Chenab Limited | CHBL | KASE:CHBL |
Sunrays Textile Mills Limited | SUTM | KASE:SUTM |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
TATM | IDSM | DINT | GEMPAPL | CHBL | SUTM | ||
KASE:TATM | KASE:IDSM | KASE:DINT | KASE:GEMPAPL | KASE:CHBL | KASE:SUTM | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 33.5% | NM- | 19.5% | NM- | NM- | 14.1% | |
3Y CAGR | -37.0% | NM- | -14.5% | 34.5% | NM- | 6.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -40.2% | -15.0% | 40.3% | 17.0% | -184.8% | 28.9% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.1% | 3.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | -12.5% | 12.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.8% | -2.5% | 6.7% | 16.2% | -3.5% | 4.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.5% | -4.5% | 9.2% | 18.4% | -8.1% | 8.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 4.5% | -4.5% | 9.2% | 18.4% | -12.6% | 9.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.65x | 0.55x | 0.63x | 0.47x | 4.28x | 0.60x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.4x | -12.2x | 6.8x | 2.6x | -33.9x | 6.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 27.5x | -6.9x | 9.7x | 4.4x | -21.8x | 10.9x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -33.9x | 2.6x | 14.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.1x | 4.2x | 8.9x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.7x | 7.0x | 7.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 1,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,995 | 12,626 | 13,258 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8,568) | (8,568) | (8,568) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 3,427 | 4,059 | 4,690 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 20.7 | 20.7 | 20.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 165.57 | 196.07 | 226.57 | ||||
FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 165.57 | 196.07 | 226.57 | 158.62 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 4.4% | 23.6% | 42.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TATM | IDSM | DINT | GEMPAPL | CHBL | SUTM | |
Enterprise Value | 26,571 | 1,971 | 25,127 | 407 | 11,785 | 11,851 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8,034 | 44 | 883 | 20 | 62 | 746 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (25,744) | (1,788) | (21,985) | (163) | (8,601) | (9,313) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (500) | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 8,861 | 226 | 4,025 | 265 | 2,745 | 3,283 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 56.0 | 9.9 | 52.5 | 20.0 | 115.0 | 20.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 158.25 | 22.82 | 76.72 | 13.25 | 23.87 | 158.62 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 158.25 | 22.82 | 76.72 | 13.25 | 23.87 | 158.62 | |
Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |