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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 10,9x - 12,0x | 11,5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,6x - 0,6x | 0,6x |
| Fair Value | ₨14,64 - ₨18,69 | ₨16,67 |
| Upside | -3,1% - 23,7% | 10,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Feroze1888 Mills Limited | FML | KASE:FML |
| Allawasaya Textile & Finishing Mills Limited | AWTX | KASE:AWTX |
| Elahi Cotton Mills Limited | ELCM | KASE:ELCM |
| Redco Textiles Limited | REDCO | KASE:REDCO |
| Masood Textile Mills Limited | MSOT | KASE:MSOT |
| Saritow Spinning Mills Limited | SSML | KASE:SSML |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FML | AWTX | ELCM | REDCO | MSOT | SSML | |||
| KASE:FML | KASE:AWTX | KASE:ELCM | KASE:REDCO | KASE:MSOT | KASE:SSML | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 19.0% | 24.0% | 13.8% | 42.4% | 11.4% | -8.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 17.9% | 19.9% | 23.6% | 43.7% | 16.5% | -15.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.1% | -24.1% | 8.9% | 42.9% | -1.2% | -96.8% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | -5.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | -0.2% | 4.7% | -7.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 2.4% | -1.6% | 2.2% | 8.8% | -9.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.0% | -2.3% | 1.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | -63.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.00x | 0.44x | 0.27x | 1.90x | 0.52x | 12.10x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.2x | -18.9x | 23.1x | 23.2x | 14.5x | -19.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.47x | 0.26x | 0.18x | 0.68x | 0.09x | 4.70x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.27x | 0.52x | 1.90x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 0.26x | 0.44x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 10.89x | 11.46x | 12.04x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 96 | 96 | 96 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,046 | 1,101 | 1,156 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (711) | (711) | (711) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 334 | 389 | 444 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 29.8 | 29.8 | 29.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 11.20 | 13.05 | 14.89 | |||||
| FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.20 | 13.05 | 14.89 | 15.11 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.9% | -13.7% | -1.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FML | AWTX | ELCM | REDCO | MSOT | SSML | |
| Enterprise Value | 64,370 | 1,958 | 274 | 3,482 | 30,869 | 1,162 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 653 | 21 | 14 | 187 | 568 | 4 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (34,580) | (851) | (109) | (2,424) | (26,407) | (715) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 30,443 | 1,128 | 179 | 1,246 | 5,031 | 451 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 399.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 49.3 | 67.5 | 29.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 76.22 | 1,409.56 | 137.47 | 25.27 | 74.53 | 15.11 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 76.22 | 1,409.56 | 137.47 | 25.27 | 74.53 | 15.11 | |
| Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |