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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 3,6x - 4,0x | 3,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 0,9x - 1,0x | 1,0x |
| Fair Value | ₨38,13 - ₨56,19 | ₨47,16 |
| Upside | 15,6% - 70,4% | 43,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Interloop Limited | ILP | KASE:ILP |
| International Knitwear Limited | INKL | KASE:INKL |
| Kohat Textile Mills Limited | KOHTM | KASE:KOHTM |
| Service Industries Limited | SRVI | KASE:SRVI |
| Towellers Limited | TOWL | KASE:TOWL |
| Prosperity Weaving Mills Limited | PRWM | KASE:PRWM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ILP | INKL | KOHTM | SRVI | TOWL | PRWM | ||
| KASE:ILP | KASE:INKL | KASE:KOHTM | KASE:SRVI | KASE:TOWL | KASE:PRWM | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 31.9% | 31.5% | 28.2% | 47.3% | 1.5% | 5.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 46.8% | 36.0% | 12.9% | 87.1% | -6.3% | -4.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -28.2% | -58.9% | 16.1% | 39.3% | -93.1% | -6.6% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.6% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 7.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 25.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 5.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.3% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.7% | 2.6% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 1.1% | 4.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.03x | 0.11x | 0.45x | 0.87x | 0.14x | 0.16x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 4.4x | 4.0x | 5.4x | 12.6x | 3.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 7.2x | 4.6x | 6.2x | -17.1x | 5.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 5.4x | 12.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.8x | 3.4x | 5.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.6x | 3.8x | 4.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 886 | 886 | 886 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,179 | 3,346 | 3,513 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,466) | (2,466) | (2,466) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 712 | 880 | 1,047 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.5 | 18.5 | 18.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 38.55 | 47.60 | 56.65 | ||||
| FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 38.55 | 47.60 | 56.65 | 32.97 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.9% | 44.4% | 71.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ILP | INKL | KOHTM | SRVI | TOWL | PRWM | |
| Enterprise Value | 176,117 | 116 | 3,807 | 108,135 | 1,809 | 3,075 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,899 | 41 | 50 | 16,038 | 880 | 232 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 191 | 34 | 5 | 736 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (96,907) | (43) | (3,262) | (64,779) | (631) | (2,698) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,360) | 0 | 0 | (11,253) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 79,939 | 149 | 600 | 48,878 | 2,058 | 609 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,401.7 | 9.7 | 20.8 | 47.0 | 17.0 | 18.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 57.03 | 15.39 | 28.87 | 1,040.24 | 121.08 | 32.97 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 57.03 | 15.39 | 28.87 | 1,040.24 | 121.08 | 32.97 | |
| Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |