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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,6x - 0,6x | 0,6x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,6x - 0,7x | 0,6x |
| Fair Value | ₨51,19 - ₨70,47 | ₨60,83 |
| Upside | 6,8% - 47,0% | 26,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Shahtaj Sugar Mills Limited | SHJS | KASE:SHJS |
| Mitchell's Fruit Farms Limited | MFFL | KASE:MFFL |
| Shezan International Limited | SHEZ | KASE:SHEZ |
| Tandlianwala Sugar Mills Limited | TSML | KASE:TSML |
| Unity Foods Limited | UNITY | KASE:UNITY |
| Jauharabad Sugar Mills Limited | JSML | KASE:JSML |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| SHJS | MFFL | SHEZ | TSML | UNITY | JSML | |||
| KASE:SHJS | KASE:MFFL | KASE:SHEZ | KASE:TSML | KASE:UNITY | KASE:JSML | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 13.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 7.0% | 42.6% | 18.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 11.8% | -0.4% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 17.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.7% | -8.6% | 16.9% | -7.3% | -17.3% | 63.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.4% | -2.7% | 1.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.0% | -1.6% | 2.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 8.3% | -2.1% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 9.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 7.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.78x | 2.12x | 0.41x | 1.31x | 0.75x | 0.54x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.6x | 45.6x | 13.5x | 10.6x | 21.5x | 7.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.20x | 1.91x | 0.22x | 0.67x | 0.46x | 0.14x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.41x | 0.78x | 2.12x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.59x | 0.72x | 1.39x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.58x | 0.61x | 0.64x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 11,385 | 11,385 | 11,385 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,584 | 6,931 | 7,277 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,502) | (4,502) | (4,502) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,082 | 2,429 | 2,776 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.1 | 34.1 | 34.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 61.02 | 71.17 | 81.33 | |||||
| FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 61.02 | 71.17 | 81.33 | 47.94 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 27.3% | 48.5% | 69.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SHJS | MFFL | SHEZ | TSML | UNITY | JSML | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,466 | 5,377 | 3,635 | 46,797 | 56,127 | 6,138 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 128 | 33 | 49 | 270 | 19,797 | 864 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 221 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 427 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,247) | (567) | (1,736) | (23,681) | (41,377) | (5,366) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,567 | 4,843 | 1,955 | 23,386 | 34,974 | 1,636 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 12.0 | 22.9 | 9.7 | 117.7 | 1,194.1 | 34.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 130.45 | 211.70 | 202.27 | 198.68 | 29.29 | 47.94 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 130.45 | 211.70 | 202.27 | 198.68 | 29.29 | 47.94 | |
| Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |