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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,2x - 15,6x | 14,9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4,7x - 5,2x | 5,0x |
Fair Value | ₨22,58 - ₨30,19 | ₨26,39 |
Upside | -32,0% - -9,0% | -20,5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Chemplast Sanmar Limited | 543336 | BSE:543336 |
Buxly Paints Limited | BUXL | KASE:BUXL |
Pakistan Oxygen Limited | PAKOXY | KASE:PAKOXY |
Gatron (Industries) Limited | GATI | KASE:GATI |
Ghani Global Holdings Limited | GGL | KASE:GGL |
Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited | EPCL | KASE:EPCL |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
543336 | BUXL | PAKOXY | GATI | GGL | EPCL | ||
BSE:543336 | KASE:BUXL | KASE:PAKOXY | KASE:GATI | KASE:GGL | KASE:EPCL | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -39.9% | NM- | 29.8% | -14.1% | 63.3% | -10.7% | |
3Y CAGR | -74.0% | 23.3% | 40.3% | -33.8% | 4.6% | -43.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 121.9% | -46.2% | 86.5% | -204.3% | 81.3% | -72.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.7% | 3.0% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 22.1% | 22.0% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -2.3% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 19.6% | 21.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 0.5% | 3.7% | 17.8% | 2.2% | 19.8% | 5.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 0.5% | 2.3% | 19.2% | -2.6% | 27.5% | 5.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.92x | 0.56x | 2.13x | 1.17x | 1.77x | 0.98x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 38.1x | 23.6x | 8.2x | 35.9x | 5.6x | 12.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 421.3x | 23.9x | 11.1x | -45.1x | 6.4x | 18.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -45.1x | 11.1x | 421.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.3x | 3.7x | 12.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.2x | 14.9x | 15.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 4,163 | 4,163 | 4,163 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 58,920 | 62,021 | 65,122 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (45,185) | (45,185) | (45,185) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 13,735 | 16,837 | 19,938 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 908.9 | 908.9 | 908.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 15.11 | 18.52 | 21.94 | ||||
FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.11 | 18.52 | 21.94 | 33.19 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -54.5% | -44.2% | -33.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 543336 | BUXL | PAKOXY | GATI | GGL | EPCL | |
Enterprise Value | 83,283 | 329 | 24,614 | 31,107 | 17,593 | 75,352 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,240 | 51 | 940 | 311 | 1,411 | 4,394 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (18,417) | (104) | (5,784) | (13,709) | (6,676) | (46,579) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (5,419) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (3,000) | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 72,106 | 276 | 19,770 | 17,709 | 6,909 | 30,167 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 158.1 | 1.4 | 87.1 | 108.7 | 354.1 | 908.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 456.05 | 191.91 | 226.92 | 162.87 | 19.51 | 33.19 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 456.05 | 191.91 | 226.92 | 162.87 | 19.51 | 33.19 | |
Trading Currency | INR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |