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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4,1x - 4,5x | 4,3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,4x - 4,9x | 4,6x |
| Fair Value | Rp911,01 - Rp1.009 | Rp960,09 |
| Upside | 16,1% - 28,6% | 22,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Diamond Food Indonesia Tbk | DMND | IDX:DMND |
| PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk | AALI | IDX:AALI |
| PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk | ROTI | IDX:ROTI |
| PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk | ULTJ | IDX:ULTJ |
| Nam Viet Corporation | ANV | HOSE:ANV |
| PT Sumber Tani Agung Resources Tbk | STAA | IDX:STAA |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| DMND | AALI | ROTI | ULTJ | ANV | STAA | ||
| IDX:DMND | IDX:AALI | IDX:ROTI | IDX:ULTJ | HOSE:ANV | IDX:STAA | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 1.6% | -18.9% | 26.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 5.6% | -9.5% | 6.0% | -4.1% | -2.8% | 3.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.5% | 6.8% | -8.9% | -6.5% | 73.3% | 63.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.7% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 11.6% | 31.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 6.7% | 25.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.6% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 6.3% | 34.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.3% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 34.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.65x | 0.40x | 1.32x | 1.31x | 1.13x | 1.27x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | 2.9x | 8.1x | 7.7x | 13.5x | 3.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.7x | 5.2x | 11.3x | 8.5x | 18.8x | 4.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 8.1x | 13.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 5.8x | 6.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.1x | 4.3x | 4.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 2,384,574 | 2,384,574 | 2,384,574 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,806,836 | 10,322,985 | 10,839,134 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (235,218) | (235,218) | (235,218) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,571,618 | 10,087,767 | 10,603,916 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10,903.4 | 10,903.4 | 10,903.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 877.86 | 925.20 | 972.54 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 877.86 | 925.20 | 972.54 | 785.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 11.8% | 17.9% | 23.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DMND | AALI | ROTI | ULTJ | ANV | STAA | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,651,279 | 9,668,144 | 5,044,078 | 11,370,948 | 5,678,354 | 8,794,365 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 554,071 | 5,338,299 | 325,032 | 2,183,735 | 50,002 | 1,702,688 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 71,921 | 370,247 | 8,442 | 140,403 | 68,055 | 17,254 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,869) | (3,189,708) | (614,031) | (35,370) | (1,496,380) | (1,473,224) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (29,107) | (542,618) | (5,273) | (90,097) | 0 | (481,936) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,243,295 | 11,644,364 | 4,758,247 | 13,569,619 | 4,300,030 | 8,559,147 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9,468.4 | 1,924.7 | 5,664.6 | 10,398.2 | 266.3 | 10,903.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 765.00 | 6,050.00 | 840.00 | 1,305.00 | 16,150.00 | 785.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 765.00 | 6,050.00 | 840.00 | 1,305.00 | 16,150.00 | 785.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | VND | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |