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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -85,3x - -94,2x | -89,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13,1x - 14,5x | 13,8x |
| Fair Value | Rp23,39 - Rp27,47 | Rp25,43 |
| Upside | -13,4% - 1,7% | -5,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Widiant Jaya Krenindo Tbk | WIDI | IDX:WIDI |
| PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk | OPMS | IDX:OPMS |
| PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk | APII | IDX:APII |
| PT Mitra Angkasa Sejahtera Tbk | BAUT | IDX:BAUT |
| PT Kian Santang Muliatama Tbk | RGAS | IDX:RGAS |
| PT Kusuma Kemindo Sentosa Tbk | KKES | IDX:KKES |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| WIDI | OPMS | APII | BAUT | RGAS | KKES | ||
| IDX:WIDI | IDX:OPMS | IDX:APII | IDX:BAUT | IDX:RGAS | IDX:KKES | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -12.5% | NM- | 76.9% | -38.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 16.3% | NM- | -14.5% | NM- | 38.9% | -63.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 226.2% | -10.6% | -54.3% | -671.3% | NM | -126.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.3% | -23.0% | 15.7% | 0.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -17.6% | -83.8% | 17.5% | 4.1% | 12.7% | 1.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.9% | -18.5% | 8.8% | -8.0% | 9.0% | 0.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.9% | -42.1% | 7.4% | -13.6% | 4.0% | -0.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.54x | 2.06x | 1.15x | 1.13x | 1.00x | 0.30x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.2x | -8.2x | 9.8x | -9.3x | 18.0x | 342.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.1x | -4.9x | 15.6x | -8.3x | 25.0x | -101.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -8.3x | 14.1x | 25.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.2x | 15.2x | 21.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -85.3x | -89.8x | -94.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (624) | (624) | (624) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 53,209 | 56,010 | 58,810 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (23,103) | (23,103) | (23,103) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 30,106 | 32,906 | 35,707 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,500.0 | 1,500.0 | 1,500.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 20.07 | 21.94 | 23.80 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.07 | 21.94 | 23.80 | 27.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.7% | -18.8% | -11.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WIDI | OPMS | APII | BAUT | RGAS | KKES | |
| Enterprise Value | 23,344 | 38,843 | 320,907 | 161,285 | 173,317 | 63,603 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,533 | 13,263 | 12,682 | 177 | 31,947 | 793 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 23,209 | 0 | 238 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (476) | 0 | (154,446) | (22,253) | (11,337) | (23,897) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (20,548) | (3) | (87) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 30,401 | 52,106 | 181,803 | 139,205 | 194,078 | 40,500 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,600.0 | 801.6 | 1,075.8 | 4,800.2 | 1,459.2 | 1,500.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 19.00 | 65.00 | 169.00 | 29.00 | 133.00 | 27.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 19.00 | 65.00 | 169.00 | 29.00 | 133.00 | 27.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |