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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 21,8x - 24,1x | 23,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 15,8x - 17,5x | 16,7x |
| Fair Value | Rp894,52 - Rp999,84 | Rp947,18 |
| Upside | 11,8% - 25,0% | 18,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Fore Kopi Indonesia Tbk | FORE | IDX:FORE |
| PT Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional Tbk | JSPT | IDX:JSPT |
| PT Jakarta International Hotels & Development Tbk | JIHD | IDX:JIHD |
| PT Champ Resto Indonesia Tbk | ENAK | IDX:ENAK |
| Phu Tai Joint Stock Company | PTB | HOSE:PTB |
| PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk | INPP | IDX:INPP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| FORE | JSPT | JIHD | ENAK | PTB | INPP | ||
| IDX:FORE | IDX:JSPT | IDX:JIHD | IDX:ENAK | HOSE:PTB | IDX:INPP | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 18.7% | 9.3% | -3.4% | -2.6% | 12.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 374.1% | 118.0% | 18.6% | -9.9% | 81.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 269.2% | 29.7% | 23.9% | -27.8% | 5.7% | 49.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.8% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 29.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.7% | 36.3% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 33.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.4% | 35.1% | 18.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 41.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.4% | 35.2% | 18.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 41.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.52x | 5.12x | 0.77x | 1.40x | 0.68x | 7.56x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 48.4x | 14.5x | 4.2x | 16.2x | 6.1x | 18.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 92.5x | 19.5x | 9.7x | 64.2x | 9.2x | 24.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.2x | 14.5x | 48.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 20.7x | 27.3x | 217.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.8x | 23.0x | 24.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 549,028 | 549,028 | 549,028 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,985,549 | 12,616,368 | 13,247,186 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,185,240) | (1,185,240) | (1,185,240) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,800,309 | 11,431,128 | 12,061,946 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 11,182.0 | 11,182.0 | 11,182.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 965.87 | 1,022.28 | 1,078.70 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 965.87 | 1,022.28 | 1,078.70 | 800.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 20.7% | 27.8% | 34.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FORE | JSPT | JIHD | ENAK | PTB | INPP | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,684,024 | 12,379,243 | 1,283,741 | 2,115,305 | 4,535,674 | 10,130,818 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 63,031 | 1,619,033 | 517,234 | 38,492 | 413,822 | 766,001 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 11,936 | 1,082,801 | 0 | 257,246 | 755,790 | |
| (-) Debt | (217,672) | (2,683,545) | (249,166) | (626,298) | (1,439,024) | (1,906,833) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (753,231) | (1,155,671) | 0 | (132,962) | (800,198) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,529,383 | 10,573,436 | 1,478,941 | 1,527,500 | 3,634,755 | 8,945,577 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8,918.4 | 2,318.7 | 2,329.0 | 2,166.7 | 66.9 | 11,182.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 620.00 | 4,560.00 | 635.00 | 705.00 | 54,300.00 | 800.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 620.00 | 4,560.00 | 635.00 | 705.00 | 54,300.00 | 800.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | VND | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |