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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 32,2x - 35,5x | 33,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 19,4x - 21,4x | 20,4x |
| Fair Value | Rp281,36 - Rp305,79 | Rp293,58 |
| Upside | -43,0% - -38,1% | -40,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk | ADMR | IDX:ADMR |
| PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk | GGRP | IDX:GGRP |
| PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. | MBMA | IDX:MBMA |
| PT J Resources Asia Pasifik Tbk | PSAB | IDX:PSAB |
| PT Vale Indonesia Tbk | INCO | IDX:INCO |
| PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk | BRMS | IDX:BRMS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ADMR | GGRP | MBMA | PSAB | INCO | BRMS | ||
| IDX:ADMR | IDX:GGRP | IDX:MBMA | IDX:PSAB | IDX:INCO | IDX:BRMS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | -2.3% | -7.6% | 108.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 35.8% | NM- | NM- | 16.4% | -35.2% | 166.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -23.4% | -514.6% | 68.4% | 16.3% | -71.5% | 220.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 45.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 34.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 52.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 28.1% | 24.8% | 36.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 46.7% | -3.7% | 4.3% | 20.8% | 6.3% | 26.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 43.0% | -7.2% | 4.3% | 26.1% | 6.2% | 31.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.19x | 0.34x | 2.27x | 5.23x | 1.66x | 18.84x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.7x | 10.9x | 25.2x | 11.0x | 7.2x | 54.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.1x | -4.7x | 52.6x | 20.0x | 26.9x | 59.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -4.7x | 20.0x | 52.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 45.1x | 118.3x | 1069.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 32.2x | 33.8x | 35.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 65 | 65 | 65 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,103 | 2,213 | 2,324 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 429 | 429 | 429 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,532 | 2,642 | 2,753 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 141,784.0 | 141,784.0 | 141,784.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/IDR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 290.91 | 303.62 | 316.34 | 494.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -41.1% | -38.5% | -36.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ADMR | GGRP | MBMA | PSAB | INCO | BRMS | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,367 | 94 | 4,196 | 1,248 | 1,552 | 3,870 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 591 | 102 | 244 | 25 | 601 | 8 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 23 | 61 | 0 | 71 | 312 | |
| (-) Debt | (395) | (75) | (684) | (300) | (6) | (97) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (90) | 0 | (795) | (104) | 0 | 206 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,472 | 144 | 3,023 | 869 | 2,219 | 4,299 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 40,882.3 | 12,111.4 | 107,995.4 | 26,460.0 | 10,539.8 | 141,784.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.21 | 0.03 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 985.00 | 194.00 | 456.00 | 535.00 | 3,430.00 | 494.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |