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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 31,1x - 34,4x | 32,7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 9,0x - 10,0x | 9,5x |
| Fair Value | Rp38,33 - Rp42,33 | Rp40,33 |
| Upside | -40,1% - -33,9% | -37,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| PT Kian Santang Muliatama Tbk | RGAS | IDX:RGAS |
| PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi Tbk | SMGA | IDX:SMGA |
| PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk | OPMS | IDX:OPMS |
| PT Kusuma Kemindo Sentosa Tbk | KKES | IDX:KKES |
| PT Sinergi Multi Lestarindo Tbk | SMLE | IDX:SMLE |
| PT Agro Yasa Lestari Tbk | AYLS | IDX:AYLS |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| RGAS | SMGA | OPMS | KKES | SMLE | AYLS | |||
| IDX:RGAS | IDX:SMGA | IDX:OPMS | IDX:KKES | IDX:SMLE | IDX:AYLS | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -14.3% | -3.9% | NM- | -37.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 19.8% | NM- | -0.3% | -0.7% | 21.1% | -27.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.6% | NM | 347.3% | -1.1% | 21.2% | -78.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.5% | 3.3% | -20.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | -55.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.7% | 5.2% | -83.8% | 1.7% | 4.3% | -33.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.0% | 1.9% | -18.5% | 0.4% | 4.8% | -62.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.0% | 3.3% | -18.5% | 0.4% | 4.8% | -169.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.37x | 0.66x | 0.75x | 0.20x | 1.12x | 54.25x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 26.4x | 20.0x | -4.1x | 51.2x | 23.2x | -32.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.23x | 0.61x | 0.98x | 0.17x | 1.13x | 54.51x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.20x | 0.75x | 2.37x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.35x | 10.01x | 77.54x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 31.09x | 32.72x | 34.36x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,002 | 1,002 | 1,002 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 31,150 | 32,789 | 34,428 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 261 | 261 | 261 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 31,411 | 33,050 | 34,690 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 853.4 | 853.4 | 853.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 36.81 | 38.73 | 40.65 | |||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 36.81 | 38.73 | 40.65 | 64.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -42.5% | -39.5% | -36.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | RGAS | SMGA | OPMS | KKES | SMLE | AYLS | |
| Enterprise Value | 171,534 | 509,066 | 30,532 | 43,314 | 252,678 | 54,358 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9,555 | 28,007 | 9,549 | 1,662 | 70,712 | 261 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 238 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (19,255) | (76,998) | 0 | (7,476) | (69,621) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (97) | 3,674 | 0 | 0 | (1) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 161,975 | 463,750 | 40,081 | 37,500 | 253,769 | 54,619 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,459.2 | 8,750.0 | 801.6 | 1,500.0 | 2,328.2 | 853.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 111.00 | 53.00 | 50.00 | 25.00 | 109.00 | 64.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 111.00 | 53.00 | 50.00 | 25.00 | 109.00 | 64.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |