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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,1x - 15,6x | 14,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10,3x - 11,4x | 10,9x |
| Fair Value | Rp634,90 - Rp853,90 | Rp744,40 |
| Upside | 9,5% - 47,2% | 28,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk | KDSI | IDX:KDSI |
| PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk | SMKL | IDX:SMKL |
| PT Trias Sentosa Tbk | TRST | IDX:TRST |
| PT Tunas Alfin Tbk | TALF | IDX:TALF |
| PT Berlina Tbk | BRNA | IDX:BRNA |
| PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk | AKPI | IDX:AKPI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KDSI | SMKL | TRST | TALF | BRNA | AKPI | ||
| IDX:KDSI | IDX:SMKL | IDX:TRST | IDX:TALF | IDX:BRNA | IDX:AKPI | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.9% | -9.7% | 20.1% | -1.9% | NM- | -0.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 3.6% | -26.3% | -17.8% | -0.7% | NM- | -28.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.2% | 11.6% | 341.3% | -4.9% | 313.2% | 494.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | -5.3% | 4.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 3.5% | -1.9% | 5.3% | -3.1% | 0.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.34x | 0.77x | 0.96x | 0.56x | 1.53x | 0.41x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.3x | 11.1x | 8.2x | 7.6x | 8.5x | 5.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.9x | 20.7x | 24.0x | 13.9x | 36.1x | 13.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.9x | 20.7x | 36.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -7.4x | 6.1x | 22.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.1x | 14.8x | 15.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 90,022 | 90,022 | 90,022 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,268,428 | 1,335,188 | 1,401,947 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (885,079) | (885,079) | (885,079) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 383,349 | 450,109 | 516,868 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 612.2 | 612.2 | 612.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 626.13 | 735.17 | 844.21 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 626.13 | 735.17 | 844.21 | 580.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 8.0% | 26.8% | 45.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KDSI | SMKL | TRST | TALF | BRNA | AKPI | |
| Enterprise Value | 724,565 | 1,402,398 | 3,275,347 | 771,503 | 1,582,439 | 1,240,183 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 69,294 | 9,869 | 16,970 | 9,979 | 28,993 | 77,967 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 143,457 | 0 | 0 | 192,152 | |
| (-) Debt | (48,659) | (879,045) | (1,897,748) | (353,028) | (908,299) | (1,155,296) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (0) | 0 | (178,954) | (38,664) | (105,876) | 97 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 745,200 | 533,221 | 1,359,072 | 389,789 | 597,257 | 355,104 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,620.0 | 3,418.1 | 2,808.0 | 1,353.4 | 979.1 | 612.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 460.00 | 156.00 | 484.00 | 288.00 | 610.00 | 580.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 460.00 | 156.00 | 484.00 | 288.00 | 610.00 | 580.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |