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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 3,0x - 3,3x | 3,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 2,0x - 2,2x | 2,1x |
| Fair Value | Rp1.894 - Rp2.024 | Rp1.959 |
| Upside | 3,8% - 10,9% | 7,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk | GEMS | IDX:GEMS |
| PT Harum Energy Tbk | HRUM | IDX:HRUM |
| PT. Indika Energy Tbk | INDY | IDX:INDY |
| PT Bayan Resources Tbk. | BYAN | IDX:BYAN |
| PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk | ITMG | IDX:ITMG |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk | ADRO | IDX:ADRO |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| GEMS | HRUM | INDY | BYAN | ITMG | ADRO | ||
| IDX:GEMS | IDX:HRUM | IDX:INDY | IDX:BYAN | IDX:ITMG | IDX:ADRO | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 40.5% | 49.4% | -14.9% | 28.9% | 16.0% | -2.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 11.7% | 23.6% | -38.7% | -8.9% | -8.8% | -22.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -12.8% | -2.6% | -38.2% | -7.2% | 0.9% | 65.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 25.4% | 33.7% | 16.5% | 48.4% | 28.4% | 48.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 25.9% | 36.9% | 11.1% | 46.9% | 29.0% | 47.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 25.1% | 21.7% | 7.5% | 38.2% | 23.1% | 45.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 22.6% | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37.2% | 23.1% | 44.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.20x | 1.44x | 0.43x | 11.17x | 0.24x | 1.13x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 7.5x | 6.4x | 30.1x | 1.0x | 2.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.6x | 10.3x | 7.6x | 32.7x | 1.1x | 3.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.0x | 6.4x | 30.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.6x | 3.3x | 3.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.0x | 3.2x | 3.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 866 | 866 | 866 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,604 | 2,741 | 2,878 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,207 | 1,207 | 1,207 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,812 | 3,949 | 4,086 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 29,831.9 | 29,831.9 | 29,831.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/IDR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2,075.70 | 2,150.34 | 2,224.98 | 1,825.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 13.7% | 17.8% | 21.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GEMS | HRUM | INDY | BYAN | ITMG | ADRO | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,161 | 1,873 | 980 | 39,421 | 563 | 2,144 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 335 | 158 | 518 | 636 | 1,063 | 1,655 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 38 | 372 | 0 | 0 | 645 | |
| (-) Debt | (173) | (504) | (1,298) | (138) | (57) | (645) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (10) | (889) | (144) | (115) | (7) | (448) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,313 | 676 | 429 | 39,805 | 1,561 | 3,351 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,882.4 | 13,225.8 | 5,202.7 | 33,333.3 | 1,129.9 | 29,831.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.56 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1.19 | 1.38 | 0.11 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9,150.00 | 830.00 | 1,340.00 | 19,400.00 | 22,450.00 | 1,825.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |