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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15,4x - 17,0x | 16,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9,5x - 10,4x | 9,9x |
| Fair Value | ₺30,11 - ₺35,73 | ₺32,92 |
| Upside | -13,8% - 2,2% | -5,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Galata Wind Enerji A.S. | GWIND | IBSE:GWIND |
| Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | AKSUE | IBSE:AKSUE |
| Akenerji Elektrik Üretim A.S. | AKENR | IBSE:AKENR |
| Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S. | AKSEN | IBSE:AKSEN |
| Margün Enerji Üretim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | MAGEN | IBSE:MAGEN |
| Tatlipinar Enerji Uretim A.S. | TATEN | IBSE:TATEN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| GWIND | AKSUE | AKENR | AKSEN | MAGEN | TATEN | ||
| IBSE:GWIND | IBSE:AKSUE | IBSE:AKENR | IBSE:AKSEN | IBSE:MAGEN | IBSE:TATEN | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 44.2% | -20.8% | NM- | 40.7% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 40.8% | -36.7% | NM- | 41.4% | -22.3% | 70.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -32.4% | -87.5% | -111.8% | -43.2% | -72.6% | 32.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 61.9% | 41.2% | 6.0% | 15.2% | 28.7% | 47.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 55.0% | 23.5% | 5.6% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 55.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 42.2% | 3.5% | -0.9% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 50.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 42.2% | 3.5% | -0.9% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 50.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.13x | 11.17x | 0.94x | 2.28x | 31.71x | 8.30x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.0x | 51.2x | 13.3x | 9.8x | 100.3x | 12.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.5x | 321.6x | -106.7x | 13.5x | 604.6x | 16.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -106.7x | 14.5x | 604.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.2x | 14.4x | 16.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.4x | 16.2x | 17.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 987 | 987 | 987 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 15,187 | 15,987 | 16,786 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,510) | (6,510) | (6,510) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,678 | 9,477 | 10,276 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 280.5 | 280.5 | 280.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 30.94 | 33.79 | 36.64 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 30.94 | 33.79 | 36.64 | 34.94 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.5% | -3.3% | 4.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GWIND | AKSUE | AKENR | AKSEN | MAGEN | TATEN | |
| Enterprise Value | 14,390 | 697 | 23,853 | 72,195 | 35,984 | 16,310 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,318 | 31 | 1,815 | 1,057 | 115 | 187 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 94 | 431 | 1 | 6 | 3,159 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,292) | (44) | (18,473) | (28,167) | (3,422) | (4,894) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (3,886) | 0 | (1,803) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 13,511 | 1,114 | 7,197 | 41,205 | 35,837 | 9,801 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 540.0 | 66.0 | 729.2 | 1,226.3 | 1,367.8 | 280.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 25.02 | 16.88 | 9.87 | 33.60 | 26.20 | 34.94 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 25.02 | 16.88 | 9.87 | 33.60 | 26.20 | 34.94 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |