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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,8x - 16,4x | 15,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 16,4x - 18,2x | 17,3x |
| Fair Value | ₺16,26 - ₺17,91 | ₺17,09 |
| Upside | -9,4% - -0,2% | -4,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Çan2 Termik A.S. | CANTE | IBSE:CANTE |
| Çates Elektrik Üretim Anonim Sirketi | CATES | IBSE:CATES |
| IZDEMIR Enerji Elektrik Uretim A.S. | IZENR | IBSE:IZENR |
| Odas Elektrik Üretim Sanayi Ticaret A.S. | ODAS | IBSE:ODAS |
| Dogu Aras Enerji Yatirimlari AS | ARASE | IBSE:ARASE |
| Park Elektrik Üretim Madencilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | PRKME | IBSE:PRKME |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CANTE | CATES | IZENR | ODAS | ARASE | PRKME | ||
| IBSE:CANTE | IBSE:CATES | IBSE:IZENR | IBSE:ODAS | IBSE:ARASE | IBSE:PRKME | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 25.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 13.2% | NM- | -8.5% | NM- | 121.8% | 144.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -58.6% | -93.2% | -72.8% | -128.9% | -5.7% | 82.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 22.4% | 4.3% | 11.9% | 21.2% | 13.3% | 5.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 14.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.0% | 1.1% | 3.5% | -4.5% | 14.6% | 24.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.0% | 1.1% | 3.5% | -4.5% | 14.6% | 24.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.75x | 0.84x | 1.77x | 2.45x | 0.31x | 4.05x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 4.8x | 15.8x | 12.5x | 2.1x | 6.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 25.0x | 74.2x | 50.9x | -54.9x | 2.1x | 16.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -54.9x | 25.0x | 74.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -80.1x | 48.8x | 261.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.8x | 15.6x | 16.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 154 | 154 | 154 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,285 | 2,405 | 2,526 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 86 | 86 | 86 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,371 | 2,492 | 2,612 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 148.9 | 148.9 | 148.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 15.93 | 16.74 | 17.54 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.93 | 16.74 | 17.54 | 17.95 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.3% | -6.8% | -2.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CANTE | CATES | IZENR | ODAS | ARASE | PRKME | |
| Enterprise Value | 11,054 | 4,482 | 12,767 | 19,235 | 12,167 | 2,586 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 157 | 399 | 721 | 1,854 | 875 | 86 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (82) | (83) | (563) | (510) | (3,091) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (70) | 0 | 0 | (13,511) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 11,060 | 4,797 | 12,927 | 7,070 | 9,950 | 2,672 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,000.0 | 165.2 | 2,443.8 | 1,400.0 | 250.0 | 148.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.58 | 29.04 | 5.29 | 5.05 | 39.80 | 17.95 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.58 | 29.04 | 5.29 | 5.05 | 39.80 | 17.95 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |