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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 93,5x - 103,4x | 98,4x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 47,1x - 52,0x | 49,6x |
Fair Value | ₺28,50 - ₺31,50 | ₺30 |
Upside | -25,4% - -17,6% | -21,5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Metro Ticari ve Mali Yatirimlar Holding A.S. | METRO | IBSE:METRO |
LDR Turizm A.S. | LIDER | IBSE:LIDER |
Bin Ulasim ve Akilli Sehir Teknolojileri A.S. | BINBN | IBSE:BINBN |
Tureks Turizm Tasimacilik Anonim Sirketi | TUREX | IBSE:TUREX |
Escar Filo Kiralama Hizmetleri A.S. | ESCAR | IBSE:ESCAR |
Pasifik Eurasia Lojistik Dis Ticaret A.S. | PASEU | IBSE:PASEU |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
METRO | LIDER | BINBN | TUREX | ESCAR | PASEU | ||
IBSE:METRO | IBSE:LIDER | IBSE:BINBN | IBSE:TUREX | IBSE:ESCAR | IBSE:PASEU | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 4.1% | NM- | 48.9% | -1.0% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -20.7% | NM- | 103.7% | -26.2% | 120.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | -82.7% | -197.5% | -29.4% | -93.2% | 265.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -65.2% | 37.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 46.5% | 11.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -73.6% | 29.1% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 49.5% | 5.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -37.3% | 5.7% | -10.8% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 13.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -37.3% | 5.7% | -10.8% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 13.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 45.01x | 11.62x | 26.65x | 5.62x | 8.60x | 17.59x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -147.8x | 156.1x | 322.5x | 27.6x | 60.7x | 120.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -120.8x | 203.3x | -247.9x | 51.2x | 248.1x | 127.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -247.9x | 51.2x | 248.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 39.6x | 83.3x | 127.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 93.5x | 98.4x | 103.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 206 | 206 | 206 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 19,287 | 20,302 | 21,317 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7) | (7) | (7) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 19,280 | 20,295 | 21,310 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 672.0 | 672.0 | 672.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 28.69 | 30.20 | 31.71 | ||||
FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 28.69 | 30.20 | 31.71 | 38.22 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -24.9% | -21.0% | -17.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | METRO | LIDER | BINBN | TUREX | ESCAR | PASEU | |
Enterprise Value | (2,301) | 26,562 | 20,700 | 30,781 | 25,105 | 25,691 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 25 | 4,873 | 1,115 | 297 | 2,874 | 147 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 3,568 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (1,362) | (88) | (686) | (2,554) | (145) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | (9) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,292 | 30,074 | 21,728 | 30,394 | 25,425 | 25,684 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 527.4 | 163.0 | 112.0 | 1,074.8 | 500.0 | 672.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.45 | 184.50 | 194.00 | 28.28 | 50.85 | 38.22 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.45 | 184.50 | 194.00 | 28.28 | 50.85 | 38.22 | |
Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |