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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,3x - 9,1x | 8,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11,7x - 12,9x | 12,3x |
| Fair Value | ₺8,19 - ₺9,52 | ₺8,85 |
| Upside | 2,8% - 19,6% | 11,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ersu Meyve ve Gida Sanayii A.S. | ERSU | IBSE:ERSU |
| Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi | OZSUB | IBSE:OZSUB |
| Ekiz Kimya Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | EKIZ | IBSE:EKIZ |
| Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | OBAMS | IBSE:OBAMS |
| Kutahya Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi | KTSKR | IBSE:KTSKR |
| Orçay Ortaköy Çay Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | ORCAY | IBSE:ORCAY |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ERSU | OZSUB | EKIZ | OBAMS | KTSKR | ORCAY | ||
| IBSE:ERSU | IBSE:OZSUB | IBSE:EKIZ | IBSE:OBAMS | IBSE:KTSKR | IBSE:ORCAY | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -0.8% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -7.2% | NM- | 43.1% | -5.7% | 127.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 41.3% | -73.7% | -107.2% | -13.5% | -88.0% | -38.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.0% | 7.8% | -0.7% | 4.0% | 19.4% | 15.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -6.9% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 4.1% | 15.9% | 22.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -3.9% | 2.8% | -1.8% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 24.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.9% | 2.8% | -1.8% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 24.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.71x | 1.36x | 2.05x | 2.19x | 0.69x | 2.25x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.7x | 27.5x | -113.8x | 24.2x | 7.9x | 8.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -94.6x | 48.6x | -113.4x | 31.4x | 41.4x | 9.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -113.4x | 31.4x | 48.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 3.9x | 9.2x | 17.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.3x | 8.7x | 9.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 108 | 108 | 108 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 890 | 937 | 984 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (359) | (359) | (359) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 530 | 577 | 624 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.0 | 80.0 | 80.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6.63 | 7.22 | 7.80 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.63 | 7.22 | 7.80 | 7.96 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.7% | -9.3% | -2.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ERSU | OZSUB | EKIZ | OBAMS | KTSKR | ORCAY | |
| Enterprise Value | 447 | 3,511 | 548 | 37,914 | 1,331 | 996 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 92 | 18 | 0 | 2,612 | 1,387 | 39 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (890) | 0 | (303) | (105) | (399) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 539 | 2,849 | 548 | 40,223 | 2,613 | 637 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 36.0 | 120.0 | 9.3 | 479.4 | 46.0 | 80.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14.98 | 23.74 | 59.00 | 83.90 | 56.80 | 7.96 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.98 | 23.74 | 59.00 | 83.90 | 56.80 | 7.96 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |