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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 16,8x - 18,6x | 17,7x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,7x - 9,6x | 9,2x |
Fair Value | ₺26,97 - ₺30,02 | ₺28,50 |
Upside | 10,5% - 23,0% | 16,8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Biotrend Cevre ve Enerji Yatirimlari A.S. | BIOEN | IBSE:BIOEN |
Tatlipinar Enerji Uretim A.S. | TATEN | IBSE:TATEN |
Mogan Enerji Yatirim Holding Anonim Sirketi | MOGAN | IBSE:MOGAN |
Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji | AKFYE | IBSE:AKFYE |
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. | AYDEM | IBSE:AYDEM |
Galata Wind Enerji A.S. | GWIND | IBSE:GWIND |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
BIOEN | TATEN | MOGAN | AKFYE | AYDEM | GWIND | ||
IBSE:BIOEN | IBSE:TATEN | IBSE:MOGAN | IBSE:AKFYE | IBSE:AYDEM | IBSE:GWIND | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 48.2% | 8.4% | 44.2% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 70.3% | NM- | 38.6% | 31.8% | 40.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -494.5% | 41.1% | -162.5% | -61.8% | -66.3% | -39.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.9% | 47.6% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 42.8% | 61.0% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.9% | 55.1% | 14.7% | 47.0% | 32.4% | 55.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -13.7% | 50.3% | -2.6% | 34.1% | 15.3% | 42.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -16.3% | 49.8% | -9.8% | 27.6% | 15.3% | 38.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 5.91x | 9.35x | 5.33x | 6.00x | 5.20x | 6.40x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 126.9x | 13.7x | 10.0x | 11.5x | 8.7x | 9.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -36.2x | 18.8x | -54.2x | 21.8x | 34.1x | 16.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -54.2x | 18.8x | 34.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.8x | 14.2x | 15.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 16.8x | 17.7x | 18.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 870 | 870 | 870 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 14,618 | 15,387 | 16,157 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,108) | (1,108) | (1,108) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 13,510 | 14,279 | 15,049 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 540.0 | 540.0 | 540.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 25.02 | 26.44 | 27.87 | ||||
FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 25.02 | 26.44 | 27.87 | 24.40 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 2.5% | 8.4% | 14.2% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BIOEN | TATEN | MOGAN | AKFYE | AYDEM | GWIND | |
Enterprise Value | 14,693 | 19,677 | 63,287 | 27,850 | 34,222 | 14,284 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 63 | 333 | 1,151 | 2,117 | 2,603 | 868 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 358 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | (4,364) | (5,539) | (32,566) | (10,432) | (24,371) | (1,977) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (2,017) | (10,033) | (110) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 10,750 | 12,454 | 21,839 | 19,427 | 12,454 | 13,176 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 500.0 | 280.5 | 2,440.1 | 1,197.0 | 698.9 | 540.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 21.50 | 44.40 | 8.95 | 16.23 | 17.82 | 24.40 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 21.50 | 44.40 | 8.95 | 16.23 | 17.82 | 24.40 | |
Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |