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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5,2x - 5,8x | 5,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5,3x - 5,8x | 5,6x |
| Fair Value | ₺8,22 - ₺9,01 | ₺8,61 |
| Upside | 8,8% - 19,3% | 14,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | ATAKP | IBSE:ATAKP |
| Ersu Meyve ve Gida Sanayii A.S. | ERSU | IBSE:ERSU |
| Ekiz Kimya Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | EKIZ | IBSE:EKIZ |
| Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar Anonim Sirketi | OYLUM | IBSE:OYLUM |
| Pinar Entegre Et ve Un Sanayii A.S. | PETUN | IBSE:PETUN |
| Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | FRIGO | IBSE:FRIGO |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ATAKP | ERSU | EKIZ | OYLUM | PETUN | FRIGO | ||
| IBSE:ATAKP | IBSE:ERSU | IBSE:EKIZ | IBSE:OYLUM | IBSE:PETUN | IBSE:FRIGO | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 40.4% | 37.6% | NM- | 85.8% | 67.0% | 61.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 91.2% | 246.9% | NM- | 141.1% | 108.4% | 62.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -39.8% | 15.2% | -107.1% | -48.6% | 323.4% | -27.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 22.5% | 15.8% | -0.5% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 28.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 24.7% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 25.0% | 3.0% | 25.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.8% | 21.0% | -1.8% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 24.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.8% | 21.0% | -1.8% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 24.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.51x | 3.89x | 2.02x | 0.91x | 0.29x | 1.20x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.9x | 18.5x | -112.2x | 5.3x | 2.6x | 5.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.6x | -99.1x | -111.7x | 7.6x | 3.4x | 6.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -112.2x | 5.3x | 18.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.3x | 5.0x | 10.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.2x | 5.5x | 5.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 202 | 202 | 202 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,056 | 1,112 | 1,167 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 103 | 103 | 103 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,159 | 1,215 | 1,270 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 147.1 | 147.1 | 147.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 7.88 | 8.26 | 8.63 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.88 | 8.26 | 8.63 | 7.55 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 4.4% | 9.4% | 14.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ATAKP | ERSU | EKIZ | OYLUM | PETUN | FRIGO | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,861 | 468 | 540 | 609 | 2,368 | 1,008 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 538 | 92 | 0 | 139 | 133 | 261 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 39 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1,579 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (321) | 0 | 0 | (134) | (1,550) | (158) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,116 | 560 | 540 | 621 | 2,530 | 1,111 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 138.6 | 36.0 | 9.3 | 85.0 | 303.3 | 147.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 36.90 | 15.56 | 58.15 | 7.31 | 8.34 | 7.55 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 36.90 | 15.56 | 58.15 | 7.31 | 8.34 | 7.55 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |