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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 92,1x - 101,8x | 96,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12,8x - 14,1x | 13,5x |
| Fair Value | ₺1,38 - ₺1,53 | ₺1,46 |
| Upside | -10,9% - -1,0% | -5,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Çates Elektrik Üretim Anonim Sirketi | CATES | IBSE:CATES |
| Ayen Enerji A.S. | AYEN | IBSE:AYEN |
| Park Elektrik Üretim Madencilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | PRKME | IBSE:PRKME |
| Dogu Aras Enerji Yatirimlari AS | ARASE | IBSE:ARASE |
| Odas Elektrik Üretim Sanayi Ticaret A.S. | ODAS | IBSE:ODAS |
| Çan2 Termik A.S. | CANTE | IBSE:CANTE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CATES | AYEN | PRKME | ARASE | ODAS | CANTE | ||
| IBSE:CATES | IBSE:AYEN | IBSE:PRKME | IBSE:ARASE | IBSE:ODAS | IBSE:CANTE | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 47.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 25.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 37.0% | 144.2% | 121.8% | NM- | 13.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -90.2% | 22.2% | 31.7% | -16.7% | -169.8% | -88.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.7% | 27.3% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 21.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.1% | 19.9% | 24.1% | 14.6% | -4.5% | 7.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.4% | 18.9% | 24.5% | 15.8% | -10.0% | 1.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.85x | 1.86x | 3.71x | 0.40x | 2.98x | 2.13x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.0x | 6.0x | 5.2x | 2.5x | 18.7x | 7.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 62.5x | 9.9x | 15.2x | 2.5x | -29.7x | 118.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -29.7x | 9.9x | 62.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.0x | 23.9x | 31.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 92.1x | 96.9x | 101.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 96 | 96 | 96 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,850 | 9,316 | 9,781 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (521) | (521) | (521) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,329 | 8,794 | 9,260 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,000.0 | 7,000.0 | 7,000.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.19 | 1.26 | 1.32 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.19 | 1.26 | 1.32 | 1.55 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.2% | -18.9% | -14.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CATES | AYEN | PRKME | ARASE | ODAS | CANTE | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,446 | 12,899 | 2,339 | 14,220 | 20,890 | 11,371 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 418 | 628 | 31 | 1,022 | 1,672 | 18 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (80) | (6,432) | 0 | (2,992) | (981) | (466) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (629) | 0 | 0 | (14,794) | (74) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,784 | 6,466 | 2,370 | 12,250 | 6,790 | 10,850 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 165.2 | 277.5 | 148.9 | 250.0 | 1,400.0 | 7,000.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 28.96 | 23.30 | 15.92 | 49.00 | 4.85 | 1.55 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 28.96 | 23.30 | 15.92 | 49.00 | 4.85 | 1.55 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |