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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5,6x - 6,2x | 5,9x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 2,0x - 2,2x | 2,1x |
Fair Value | ₫18.942 - ₫21.094 | ₫20.018 |
Upside | 21,8% - 35,7% | 28,7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Dien Quang Group Joint Stock Company | DQC | HOSE:DQC |
Tiasang Battery Joint stock company | TSB | HNX:TSB |
Hanoi Battery Joint Stock Company | PHN | HNX:PHN |
COKYVINA Joint Stock Company | CKV | HNX:CKV |
Viet Thai Electric Cable Corporation | VTH | HNX:VTH |
Taya Viet Nam Electric Wire and Cable Joint Stock Company | TYA | HOSE:TYA |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
DQC | TSB | PHN | CKV | VTH | TYA | ||
HOSE:DQC | HNX:TSB | HNX:PHN | HNX:CKV | HNX:VTH | HOSE:TYA | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -8.4% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -3.2% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -4.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 1.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -3819.5% | -1.2% | 7.4% | 1607.4% | NM | 149.1% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 4.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.2% | 6.7% | 17.7% | -0.1% | NA | 3.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -8.9% | 5.7% | 17.9% | 1.1% | NA | 6.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -8.9% | 5.7% | 17.9% | 1.1% | NA | 6.2% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.28x | 1.43x | 1.01x | 0.02x | 0.39x | 0.28x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.2x | 24.9x | 5.6x | 2.0x | NA | 4.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -2.3x | 47.9x | 5.9x | 6.2x | 10.1x | 5.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.2x | 3.8x | 24.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.5x | 8.0x | 9.3x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 5.9x | 6.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 115,490 | 115,490 | 115,490 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 647,837 | 681,934 | 716,031 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (46,117) | (46,117) | (46,117) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 601,721 | 635,817 | 669,914 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 30.7 | 30.7 | 30.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 19,612.43 | 20,723.78 | 21,835.12 | ||||
FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19,612.43 | 20,723.78 | 21,835.12 | 15,550.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 26.1% | 33.3% | 40.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DQC | TSB | PHN | CKV | VTH | TYA | |
Enterprise Value | 229,169 | 261,919 | 451,134 | 20,005 | 298,719 | 523,200 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 94,382 | 37,351 | 64,040 | 30,400 | 56,387 | 542,387 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 144,876 | 0 | 19,356 | 14,017 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (162,273) | (27,427) | (4,994) | (12,266) | (282,426) | (588,504) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (14,039) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 292,115 | 271,843 | 529,536 | 52,156 | 72,680 | 477,083 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 27.6 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 7.9 | 30.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 10,600.00 | 40,300.00 | 73,000.00 | 13,000.00 | 9,200.00 | 15,550.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 10,600.00 | 40,300.00 | 73,000.00 | 13,000.00 | 9,200.00 | 15,550.00 | |
Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |