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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2,4x - 2,7x | 2,5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,2x - 2,4x | 2,3x |
| Fair Value | ₫106.176 - ₫115.383 | ₫110.780 |
| Upside | -20,2% - -13,2% | -16,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Noibai Cargo Terminal Services Joint Stock Company | NCT | HOSE:NCT |
| Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company | CII | HOSE:CII |
| Saigon Ground Services Joint Stock Company | SGN | HOSE:SGN |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | HAH | HOSE:HAH |
| Cat Lai Port Joint Stock Company | CLL | HOSE:CLL |
| Dong Nai Port Joint Stock Company | PDN | HOSE:PDN |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| NCT | CII | SGN | HAH | CLL | PDN | |||
| HOSE:NCT | HOSE:CII | HOSE:SGN | HOSE:HAH | HOSE:CLL | HOSE:PDN | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.6% | 10.8% | -0.9% | 29.2% | -1.7% | 12.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 7.4% | 1.9% | 46.0% | 26.9% | 6.8% | 14.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 31.2% | -2.0% | 4.3% | 52.8% | 5.1% | 14.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 35.6% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 32.4% | 26.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 35.8% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 33.8% | 30.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 32.8% | 34.3% | 21.4% | 26.5% | 33.1% | 31.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 32.8% | 34.3% | 21.4% | 26.5% | 33.1% | 31.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.67x | 10.06x | 1.21x | 2.07x | 2.67x | 3.17x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.1x | 29.4x | 5.7x | 7.8x | 8.1x | 10.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 3.22x | 2.51x | 1.84x | 1.61x | 3.75x | 3.68x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 2.67x | 10.06x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.74x | 2.29x | 3.17x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.42x | 2.55x | 2.67x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,337,315 | 1,337,315 | 1,337,315 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,233,975 | 3,404,184 | 3,574,393 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 693,053 | 693,053 | 693,053 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,927,028 | 4,097,237 | 4,267,446 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 37.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 106,010.09 | 110,604.88 | 115,199.68 | |||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 106,010.09 | 110,604.88 | 115,199.68 | 133,000.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -20.3% | -16.8% | -13.4% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NCT | CII | SGN | HAH | CLL | PDN | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,451,180 | 30,494,857 | 1,807,530 | 8,338,602 | 855,139 | 4,233,786 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 440,498 | 2,368,657 | 1,059,488 | 992,390 | 284,562 | 690,750 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 65,050 | 1,023,929 | 0 | 173,753 | 85,998 | 70,965 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (23,173,638) | 0 | (2,330,258) | (2,719) | (68,661) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (3,096,931) | (97,144) | (694,766) | (19,380) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,956,728 | 7,616,875 | 2,769,875 | 6,479,721 | 1,203,600 | 4,926,840 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 26.2 | 548.0 | 33.5 | 121.3 | 34.0 | 37.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 113,000.00 | 13,900.00 | 82,600.00 | 53,400.00 | 35,400.00 | 133,000.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 113,000.00 | 13,900.00 | 82,600.00 | 53,400.00 | 35,400.00 | 133,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |